Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 265 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 166 15 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 16 41 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 11 24 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 66 5 59 17 19 11 0
VCDI 0 171 46 188 381 1440 7258 22763
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 304 13 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 143 7 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 12 25 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 3 28 5 3 0 0
CDI 0 81 16 45 33 58 3 0
VCDI 0 281 78 252 407 1393 7951 21764
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 328 19 17 2 0 0 0
OW 0 104 24 31 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 25 56 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 63 9 40 24 2 0 0
CDI 0 22 25 142 98 70 30 5
VCDI 0 1 7 79 515 1404 9044 20787
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 241 19 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 94 11 26 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 10 64 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 18 80 25 6 0 0
CDI 0 30 5 45 146 49 18 15
VCDI 0 26 16 73 242 1158 8676 21872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 222 17 25 1 0 0 0
OW 0 115 12 22 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 12 76 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 17 74 27 6 0 0
CDI 0 31 5 44 145 70 14 16
VCDI 0 25 16 73 241 1137 8680 21871

Date: 2024-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 201 24 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 90 18 26 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 19 33 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 19 69 35 0 1 0
CDI 0 31 11 92 46 30 13 0
VCDI 0 41 22 79 313 1181 8778 21801
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 184 19 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 113 25 24 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 22 40 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 19 80 35 0 1 0
CDI 0 35 7 78 46 33 13 0
VCDI 0 36 21 80 313 1178 8778 21801

Date: 2024-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 325 10 19 1 0 0 0
OW 0 207 21 15 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 11 34 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 64 7 26 34 4 0 0
CDI 0 82 38 125 99 97 11 0
VCDI 0 2 10 85 402 2056 9098 20112
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 233 10 17 1 0 0 0
OW 0 138 1 7 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 24 13 19 2 0 0
ODI 0 57 6 50 25 9 0 0
CDI 0 131 13 41 63 81 8 0
VCDI 0 114 43 176 435 2065 9101 20112

Date: 2024-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 291 11 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 129 14 13 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 6 26 22 1 0 0
ODI 0 85 2 22 31 14 0 0
CDI 0 96 15 130 141 75 19 10
VCDI 0 28 12 105 378 1831 12046 17414
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 195 10 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 110 4 6 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 17 20 14 7 0 0
ODI 0 55 2 33 28 8 0 0
CDI 0 181 11 55 69 63 47 6
VCDI 0 105 16 182 458 1843 12018 17418

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 330 8 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 102 5 20 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 161 7 19 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 87 11 13 25 0 0 0
CDI 0 129 57 105 51 41 5 2
VCDI 0 62 33 163 452 2156 9039 19973
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 212 8 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 119 2 14 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 112 7 17 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 77 10 25 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 135 16 42 57 36 16 1
VCDI 0 216 78 227 454 2161 9028 19974


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