Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4946 2987 37 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 280 91 227 35 5 0 0
VODI 0 13 29 231 286 37 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 33 218 207 6 0
CDI 0 1 0 9 30 643 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 25 1954 8804 39845
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5207 2623 34 50 3 0 0 0
OW 7 403 64 137 93 0 0 0
VODI 6 65 50 231 221 38 0 0
ODI 1 12 0 49 277 118 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 4 168 510 29 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 212 2506 6347 41762
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5259 2887 36 40 7 0 0 0
OW 0 299 120 188 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 5 273 207 23 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 5 270 138 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 118 736 78 5
VCDI 0 0 0 2 318 2483 8079 39589
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5640 2727 11 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 323 110 180 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 44 219 142 12 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 44 257 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 160 491 60 4
VCDI 0 0 0 33 361 2601 10304 37316
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5640 2792 20 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 260 95 173 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 50 214 94 10 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 66 295 80 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 170 488 91 4
VCDI 0 0 0 34 364 2600 10273 37316

Date: 2024-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5954 2498 4 31 5 0 0 0
OW 11 405 67 87 41 4 0 0
VODI 3 77 65 201 79 23 3 0
ODI 2 4 8 103 184 66 9 0
CDI 0 1 0 7 161 465 128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 204 2535 9140 38656
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5950 2540 6 16 7 0 0 0
OW 14 342 54 97 39 5 0 0
VODI 4 99 77 168 62 23 3 0
ODI 1 3 7 139 196 62 8 0
CDI 1 1 0 9 150 485 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 220 2518 9160 38656

Date: 2024-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5797 2782 22 42 16 0 0 0
OW 17 180 132 116 32 4 0 0
VODI 4 10 15 303 116 16 0 0
ODI 1 2 0 10 235 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 51 563 124 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 93 2420 10425 37650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5790 2659 33 42 17 3 0 0
OW 13 263 86 84 46 18 0 0
VODI 13 44 50 268 74 22 0 0
ODI 3 7 0 77 198 83 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 103 426 257 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 105 2504 10292 37648

Date: 2024-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4912 3044 118 194 2 0 0 0
OW 0 100 65 262 147 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 140 314 62 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 87 219 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 491 167 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2600 11202 37089
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4912 3054 121 214 31 0 0 0
OW 0 89 58 237 106 13 0 0
VODI 0 1 6 140 331 99 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 82 308 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 438 259 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2514 11106 37086

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4754 3020 57 86 0 0 0 0
OW 0 119 71 325 85 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 151 344 52 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 179 218 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 57 706 215 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 106 3252 11813 35618
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4754 2965 59 105 25 0 0 0
OW 0 158 52 276 96 4 0 0
VODI 0 16 18 179 315 127 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 193 294 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 37 555 187 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 105 3248 11841 35618


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