Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63567 17392 323 318 21 0 0 0
OW 33 1649 412 751 183 7 0 0
VODI 0 661 239 1015 558 63 0 0
ODI 0 209 130 566 747 302 6 0
CDI 0 154 45 671 1343 1791 678 6
VCDI 0 272 105 448 1161 6704 23897 68316
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63147 17255 322 305 11 0 0 0
OW 29 1629 442 668 210 2 0 0
VODI 6 616 294 1245 476 62 0 0
ODI 1 190 98 734 877 197 6 0
CDI 0 106 49 500 1764 2182 298 1
VCDI 0 281 86 460 1359 7768 23419 67648
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62990 17917 369 381 35 0 0 0
OW 12 1491 521 845 197 6 0 0
VODI 0 337 197 1452 545 43 0 0
ODI 0 72 33 441 1172 303 6 0
CDI 0 22 29 317 1853 3077 374 10
VCDI 0 1 7 101 1267 8264 25034 65022
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63902 17062 248 341 54 2 0 0
OW 52 1486 384 800 160 10 0 0
VODI 0 426 217 1059 491 62 3 0
ODI 0 87 80 609 902 309 20 0
CDI 0 37 30 344 1660 2677 844 29
VCDI 0 26 16 233 1458 7332 25709 65582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63909 17192 252 321 58 1 0 0
OW 38 1350 376 819 148 9 0 0
VODI 7 440 224 1048 454 56 3 0
ODI 0 79 78 620 914 320 19 0
CDI 0 38 29 351 1677 2718 871 38
VCDI 0 25 16 227 1474 7288 25683 65573

Date: 2024-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64687 16387 225 346 33 0 0 0
OW 40 1669 319 597 117 12 0 0
VODI 3 650 291 810 390 112 3 0
ODI 2 141 170 767 727 284 12 0
CDI 0 60 46 668 1456 1938 456 0
VCDI 0 53 30 292 1551 6984 25756 66659
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64684 16494 232 329 34 0 0 0
OW 42 1567 321 612 118 10 0 0
VODI 4 652 297 780 386 120 3 0
ODI 1 134 164 793 731 282 10 0
CDI 1 63 37 679 1393 1780 387 0
VCDI 0 50 30 287 1612 7138 25827 66659

Date: 2024-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64069 17371 311 439 53 0 0 0
OW 34 1529 488 691 193 7 0 0
VODI 4 205 168 1228 588 73 0 0
ODI 1 94 36 419 1101 253 0 0
CDI 0 116 50 376 1391 3337 529 0
VCDI 0 9 17 173 944 6923 26433 65090
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64078 16692 323 458 63 3 0 0
OW 14 1444 280 585 206 43 0 0
VODI 13 612 216 796 497 121 0 0
ODI 3 235 110 576 753 409 1 0
CDI 0 182 82 547 1554 2587 1127 12
VCDI 0 159 59 364 1197 7430 25834 65078

Date: 2024-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63842 16901 338 510 27 0 0 0
OW 9 1333 368 866 305 20 0 0
VODI 0 332 216 847 720 133 0 0
ODI 0 145 27 559 751 511 3 0
CDI 0 158 48 425 1510 2568 892 16
VCDI 0 40 18 229 1011 7463 29756 61846
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63825 16219 321 581 64 3 0 0
OW 26 1243 267 693 289 36 0 0
VODI 0 700 159 608 734 241 1 0
ODI 0 301 140 530 545 622 19 0
CDI 0 306 98 639 1411 2360 1144 21
VCDI 0 140 30 385 1281 7433 29487 61841

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63279 17453 248 378 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1419 261 834 270 3 0 0
VODI 0 521 252 835 702 154 0 0
ODI 0 165 79 649 966 387 0 0
CDI 0 188 80 582 1644 1979 561 2
VCDI 0 81 46 294 1424 9301 28731 60951
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63279 16364 205 390 72 0 0 0
OW 0 1658 166 635 305 8 0 0
VODI 0 850 248 733 714 310 0 0
ODI 0 391 133 607 861 470 4 0
CDI 0 315 109 725 1485 1808 627 1
VCDI 0 249 105 482 1593 9228 28661 60952


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