Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58460 14273 228 244 11 0 0 0
OW 47 1219 265 461 115 7 0 0
VODI 0 353 176 781 357 36 0 0
ODI 0 105 62 450 945 146 2 0
CDI 0 56 50 394 1007 1939 346 1
VCDI 0 77 25 235 905 3308 7763 5567
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57593 14700 282 443 4 0 0 0
OW 33 1057 310 720 91 3 0 0
VODI 0 299 196 751 426 54 0 0
ODI 0 82 69 465 806 250 0 1
CDI 0 44 26 494 904 1366 269 40
VCDI 0 33 28 346 733 3410 8042 6046
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58062 14726 296 212 8 0 0 0
OW 69 1021 413 700 59 1 0 0
VODI 0 246 163 1129 440 33 0 0
ODI 0 42 32 427 788 207 0 0
CDI 0 20 10 249 1356 1513 171 3
VCDI 0 4 8 120 400 3179 7787 6522
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58399 14456 263 217 18 0 0 0
OW 32 1244 331 500 91 5 0 0
VODI 0 548 200 852 355 36 0 0
ODI 0 131 96 526 531 141 0 0
CDI 0 64 52 530 1164 1238 400 2
VCDI 0 59 50 237 709 3487 8459 4993
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58389 14583 277 224 22 0 0 0
OW 42 1163 325 514 98 6 0 0
VODI 0 532 198 816 404 40 0 0
ODI 0 108 87 523 494 145 0 0
CDI 0 60 55 521 1153 1246 408 10
VCDI 0 56 50 264 697 3470 8451 4985

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57980 14489 247 401 32 0 0 0
OW 15 1170 267 583 170 1 0 0
VODI 0 509 209 760 321 35 0 0
ODI 0 154 73 545 561 70 2 1
CDI 0 83 39 436 1472 1357 340 15
VCDI 0 53 51 311 701 3512 7931 5520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57979 14576 252 428 39 0 0 0
OW 16 1100 269 593 163 1 0 0
VODI 0 512 204 718 351 37 0 0
ODI 0 152 69 544 562 74 4 1
CDI 0 66 39 441 1448 1457 377 15
VCDI 0 52 53 312 694 3406 7892 5520

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57510 14925 307 292 21 0 0 0
OW 6 1032 545 700 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 122 1406 422 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 360 1069 147 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 110 1525 2456 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 225 3609 9062 4161
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57515 14583 344 363 26 0 0 0
OW 1 930 274 595 120 4 0 0
VODI 0 416 266 821 312 53 1 0
ODI 0 76 79 654 752 146 17 0
CDI 0 3 15 389 1524 1855 353 0
VCDI 0 0 0 51 632 4175 8910 4161

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58342 14119 276 280 58 2 0 0
OW 45 1077 349 575 125 25 0 0
VODI 1 322 182 822 305 36 2 0
ODI 0 28 46 491 607 187 9 1
CDI 0 0 13 264 1492 2158 618 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 712 3943 6822 6046
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58299 13652 257 196 61 12 0 0
OW 47 1007 222 467 67 12 0 0
VODI 38 669 227 654 223 27 4 0
ODI 4 193 97 625 541 188 23 1
CDI 0 23 49 407 1522 2031 657 0
VCDI 0 2 14 119 885 4081 6767 6046

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58597 13775 203 267 50 1 0 0
OW 45 1067 298 532 85 16 0 0
VODI 0 407 212 673 272 63 14 0
ODI 0 67 86 547 551 292 3 0
CDI 0 22 39 346 1184 1983 623 1
VCDI 0 0 6 176 885 3173 7290 6565
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58535 13152 210 300 54 7 0 0
OW 61 1056 229 440 68 15 3 0
VODI 43 735 208 599 219 60 8 0
ODI 3 272 90 583 500 189 9 0
CDI 0 108 82 390 1158 1692 714 12
VCDI 0 15 25 229 1028 3565 7196 6554


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