Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6159 2475 12 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 344 73 105 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 171 46 174 132 2 0 0
ODI 0 78 12 58 170 36 1 0
CDI 0 72 26 70 139 469 83 0
VCDI 0 8 15 195 473 3072 8516 38029
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5719 2617 16 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 315 79 147 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 118 28 240 146 6 0 0
ODI 0 69 19 52 293 124 0 0
CDI 0 38 25 86 145 560 86 3
VCDI 0 7 1 9 159 3389 10191 36499
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5308 2918 37 27 3 0 0 0
OW 0 239 142 155 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 7 370 171 11 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 42 262 151 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 10 79 573 218 10
VCDI 0 0 0 5 140 2369 9448 38466
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5052 2977 44 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 236 101 243 38 1 0 0
VODI 0 22 26 233 276 22 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 32 249 169 10 0
CDI 0 1 0 10 29 569 414 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1933 11620 36827
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5052 3046 48 73 2 0 0 0
OW 0 167 92 205 56 2 0 0
VODI 0 21 30 236 253 21 0 0
ODI 0 10 4 33 253 148 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 28 588 401 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1935 11639 36831

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4989 2814 47 54 0 0 0 0
OW 0 397 54 149 61 5 0 0
VODI 0 38 44 274 223 38 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 29 340 107 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 5 135 551 135 1
VCDI 0 0 0 1 63 1950 5539 43174
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4989 2858 52 65 0 0 0 0
OW 0 332 50 140 80 6 0 0
VODI 0 59 42 281 216 31 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 19 311 128 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 6 128 512 126 1
VCDI 0 0 0 1 87 1974 5548 43174

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5275 2857 30 42 10 0 0 0
OW 0 312 132 156 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 2 288 212 7 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 1 359 90 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 1 99 692 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 221 2457 7153 40715
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5275 2715 29 42 13 0 0 0
OW 0 380 59 125 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 74 268 159 41 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 49 273 83 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 4 185 373 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 228 2749 7153 40715

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5307 2878 38 24 7 0 0 0
OW 0 277 102 216 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 20 233 229 18 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 10 265 125 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 75 687 149 1
VCDI 0 0 0 22 261 2450 9360 38399
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5307 2782 40 32 9 0 0 0
OW 0 326 74 150 76 2 0 0
VODI 0 51 45 249 198 50 0 0
ODI 0 15 3 49 208 153 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 122 527 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 279 2548 9464 38400

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5954 2497 6 22 4 0 0 0
OW 10 379 96 113 36 0 0 0
VODI 3 82 57 200 103 13 0 0
ODI 2 6 6 80 232 63 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 11 182 348 56 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 376 2377 11261 36649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5945 2180 20 51 6 0 0 0
OW 13 376 46 86 53 0 0 0
VODI 10 282 50 127 122 26 0 0
ODI 1 102 24 64 182 93 3 0
CDI 0 23 26 97 201 367 87 15
VCDI 0 1 0 1 369 2315 11230 36637


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