Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64619 16937 243 247 11 0 0 0
OW 47 1747 375 575 128 7 0 0
VODI 0 634 249 1030 509 38 0 0
ODI 0 215 92 547 1152 185 3 0
CDI 0 170 81 485 1207 2451 439 1
VCDI 0 239 66 547 1832 8380 24049 65206
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63312 17471 303 475 4 0 0 0
OW 33 1480 411 906 118 3 0 0
VODI 0 475 256 1076 603 61 0 0
ODI 0 167 91 580 1129 376 0 1
CDI 0 103 59 618 1110 1955 364 43
VCDI 0 138 57 477 1241 9032 25661 64554
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63370 17839 340 241 11 0 0 0
OW 69 1365 593 894 86 1 0 0
VODI 0 295 189 1625 660 44 0 0
ODI 0 76 40 503 1094 360 0 0
CDI 0 60 24 309 1474 2134 397 13
VCDI 0 49 23 230 776 7162 23582 68815
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63451 17668 311 262 18 0 0 0
OW 32 1636 448 753 129 6 0 0
VODI 0 635 243 1150 634 58 0 0
ODI 0 171 107 588 791 310 10 0
CDI 0 101 65 586 1236 1828 818 26
VCDI 0 151 75 352 1008 6664 26375 66047
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63441 17858 328 300 24 0 0 0
OW 42 1492 433 731 154 8 0 0
VODI 0 619 245 1113 661 61 0 0
ODI 0 151 100 586 756 293 4 0
CDI 0 96 69 585 1227 1858 814 30
VCDI 0 146 74 376 994 6646 26385 66043

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62969 17624 301 455 32 0 0 0
OW 15 1724 331 733 231 6 0 0
VODI 0 630 269 1057 544 73 0 0
ODI 0 223 82 593 906 179 2 1
CDI 0 180 59 471 1627 1961 481 16
VCDI 0 288 115 548 1133 6956 21645 70283
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62968 17763 313 493 39 0 0 0
OW 16 1585 325 734 243 7 0 0
VODI 0 653 264 1025 567 68 0 0
ODI 0 220 80 580 878 205 4 1
CDI 0 168 58 480 1596 2023 509 16
VCDI 0 280 117 545 1150 6872 21615 70283

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62785 18121 345 355 35 0 0 0
OW 6 1534 698 882 152 0 0 0
VODI 0 207 135 1729 644 28 0 0
ODI 0 70 30 403 1443 240 3 0
CDI 0 39 33 277 1683 3232 281 17
VCDI 0 1 0 238 817 7367 24198 66715
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62790 17559 379 426 43 0 0 0
OW 1 1424 344 732 211 4 0 0
VODI 0 620 348 1116 480 94 1 0
ODI 0 181 91 731 1043 233 17 0
CDI 0 82 23 449 1746 2304 420 19
VCDI 0 106 56 430 1251 8232 24044 66713

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63649 17264 333 331 66 2 0 0
OW 45 1450 454 827 186 25 0 0
VODI 1 412 224 1139 548 54 2 0
ODI 0 88 60 540 901 313 9 1
CDI 0 38 16 329 1690 2906 776 20
VCDI 0 19 20 144 1311 7646 24698 66206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63606 16626 315 254 70 12 0 0
OW 47 1427 299 638 145 14 0 0
VODI 38 815 273 939 435 77 4 0
ODI 4 272 108 730 779 341 23 1
CDI 0 106 82 496 1704 2626 732 1
VCDI 0 25 30 253 1569 7876 24726 66225

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64551 16479 238 313 54 1 0 0
OW 55 1522 409 684 123 16 0 0
VODI 3 542 276 915 390 76 14 0
ODI 2 108 96 722 815 360 6 0
CDI 0 59 44 413 1474 2360 692 6
VCDI 0 26 13 250 1524 6632 26746 65734
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64480 15512 247 369 60 7 0 0
OW 74 1504 285 554 122 15 3 0
VODI 53 1085 278 759 367 86 8 0
ODI 4 403 123 715 710 282 12 0
CDI 0 174 111 565 1429 2101 819 27
VCDI 0 58 32 335 1692 6954 26616 65713


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