Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59874 13032 254 340 42 0 0 0
OW 16 1143 209 529 123 11 0 0
VODI 0 391 133 802 419 69 0 0
ODI 0 142 48 362 738 189 24 0
CDI 0 229 63 412 1179 1535 462 73
VCDI 0 213 62 293 483 3146 8307 5069
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59688 13003 226 192 17 0 0 0
OW 42 1218 350 557 103 8 0 0
VODI 0 323 189 854 301 91 0 0
ODI 0 124 37 440 679 182 11 0
CDI 0 186 55 444 1103 1355 513 14
VCDI 0 251 76 338 626 3616 7594 5610
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59691 13661 203 135 13 0 0 0
OW 110 1198 403 517 133 2 0 0
VODI 1 262 138 904 303 27 0 0
ODI 0 101 73 443 799 102 1 0
CDI 0 102 53 393 1188 1968 235 0
VCDI 0 23 12 172 638 3572 7017 5823
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59196 13837 189 190 29 0 0 0
OW 45 1214 316 421 129 15 0 0
VODI 0 334 192 782 326 38 1 0
ODI 0 110 45 460 842 155 8 0
CDI 0 84 56 357 921 2229 538 0
VCDI 0 68 35 232 825 3156 7756 5285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59196 13903 183 200 28 0 0 0
OW 45 1161 324 427 128 15 0 0
VODI 0 324 185 741 329 32 0 0
ODI 0 112 51 466 831 181 9 0
CDI 0 81 54 373 918 2134 471 0
VCDI 0 66 36 235 838 3231 7823 5285

Date: 2024-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57605 14814 317 361 3 0 0 0
OW 24 1132 309 600 97 5 0 0
VODI 0 267 216 837 368 41 0 0
ODI 0 85 60 475 851 208 0 0
CDI 0 50 27 516 929 1536 259 4
VCDI 0 63 35 304 811 3536 7803 5868
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57607 14885 318 367 10 0 0 0
OW 22 1084 320 617 110 8 0 0
VODI 0 244 204 789 362 51 0 0
ODI 0 88 59 472 817 198 0 0
CDI 0 60 29 521 915 1518 256 13
VCDI 0 50 34 327 845 3551 7806 5859

Date: 2024-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57817 14880 319 307 1 0 0 0
OW 75 1059 524 645 55 2 0 0
VODI 0 122 100 1290 468 16 0 0
ODI 0 19 18 343 978 222 0 0
CDI 0 22 18 279 1159 1675 160 13
VCDI 0 0 9 135 305 3222 8000 6159
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57858 14513 308 392 16 0 0 0
OW 34 944 309 651 99 3 0 0
VODI 0 399 204 723 429 60 0 0
ODI 0 122 78 470 706 214 8 0
CDI 0 73 53 462 973 1338 425 23
VCDI 0 51 36 301 743 3522 7727 6149

Date: 2024-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58049 14884 242 173 4 0 0 0
OW 51 1110 384 571 59 3 0 0
VODI 0 341 227 1074 385 45 0 0
ODI 0 57 55 500 599 216 0 0
CDI 0 20 20 333 1365 1255 192 3
VCDI 0 1 9 188 568 3900 8000 5533
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58077 14533 261 226 16 0 0 0
OW 23 1024 235 542 85 5 0 0
VODI 0 534 207 659 383 47 0 0
ODI 0 200 135 500 481 213 2 0
CDI 0 76 75 601 1145 1115 131 1
VCDI 0 46 24 311 870 4039 8059 5535

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58621 14140 281 287 21 0 0 0
OW 33 1203 306 520 148 2 0 0
VODI 0 571 194 743 272 26 0 0
ODI 0 164 119 509 523 95 0 0
CDI 0 87 40 603 1296 1129 451 6
VCDI 0 101 59 258 755 3310 7835 5708
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58622 13637 338 409 51 0 0 0
OW 30 1093 204 466 132 1 0 0
VODI 2 681 181 538 335 32 0 0
ODI 0 327 104 477 379 125 0 0
CDI 0 288 55 430 979 934 262 0
VCDI 0 240 117 600 1139 3470 8024 5714


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