Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5269 2745 50 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 403 81 91 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 88 375 44 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 129 285 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 279 441 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 151 3427 10041 37149
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5504 2585 50 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 417 56 116 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 91 309 64 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 124 234 26 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 240 280 78 1
VCDI 0 0 0 1 346 3599 10083 36832
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5640 2817 31 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 338 117 116 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 24 330 139 6 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 54 193 55 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 23 155 347 26 14
VCDI 0 0 1 15 207 3134 8316 39096
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6174 2517 6 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 379 72 66 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 59 192 114 1 0 0
ODI 0 50 17 84 147 20 0 0
CDI 0 32 19 57 176 308 37 2
VCDI 0 19 13 175 509 2737 7414 39704
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6174 2468 8 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 410 66 58 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 152 58 190 121 0 0 0
ODI 0 55 36 92 145 21 0 0
CDI 0 13 13 71 163 294 50 3
VCDI 0 20 5 162 518 2751 7401 39703

Date: 2024-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5920 2541 15 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 324 88 124 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 143 51 226 130 6 0 0
ODI 0 76 12 78 268 56 1 0
CDI 0 64 24 77 196 552 56 6
VCDI 0 8 0 23 303 3712 8805 37326
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5920 2463 19 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 396 81 115 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 165 51 219 134 8 0 0
ODI 0 88 22 92 268 47 1 0
CDI 0 33 16 85 202 555 55 12
VCDI 0 11 1 17 296 3716 8806 37320

Date: 2024-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5491 2865 34 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 279 126 102 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 35 404 123 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 0 54 294 98 0 0
CDI 0 9 0 14 102 816 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 155 2354 9425 38290
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5491 2729 34 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 312 97 141 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 58 236 168 32 0 0
ODI 0 21 5 123 186 153 0 0
CDI 0 19 1 60 139 390 163 0
VCDI 0 3 0 11 171 2693 9341 38290

Date: 2024-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5126 2979 51 37 3 0 0 0
OW 0 228 104 224 29 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 259 281 16 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 8 258 191 0 2
CDI 0 6 1 12 58 510 428 38
VCDI 0 0 0 0 59 2300 11194 36791
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5126 3001 81 135 0 0 0 0
OW 0 180 68 277 86 8 0 0
VODI 0 31 7 103 391 141 0 0
ODI 0 23 2 15 131 297 10 0
CDI 0 10 3 4 21 333 153 35
VCDI 0 0 0 6 59 2239 11459 36796

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4946 2987 37 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 280 91 227 35 5 0 0
VODI 0 13 29 231 286 37 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 33 218 207 6 0
CDI 0 1 0 9 30 643 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 25 1954 8804 39845
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4946 3116 106 243 102 4 0 0
OW 0 129 37 184 226 49 0 0
VODI 0 25 11 66 167 303 14 0
ODI 0 16 3 30 59 283 76 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 13 358 224 74
VCDI 0 0 0 1 27 1849 8712 39771


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