Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61029 12361 194 157 3 0 0 0
OW 3 999 283 522 104 3 0 0
VODI 0 521 177 818 327 53 0 0
ODI 0 211 87 491 620 89 0 0
CDI 0 187 72 337 1206 1185 66 77
VCDI 0 134 88 364 910 3888 7574 5276
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61185 12176 143 125 18 0 0 0
OW 3 1190 232 424 145 23 0 0
VODI 0 571 209 731 340 104 4 0
ODI 0 194 59 452 585 139 16 0
CDI 0 200 67 390 1015 691 171 53
VCDI 0 224 115 416 1187 3608 7736 5475
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61265 12621 180 212 22 0 0 0
OW 33 1455 299 389 109 1 0 0
VODI 0 295 206 794 379 27 0 0
ODI 0 107 35 355 554 188 18 0
CDI 0 193 65 367 1001 898 247 6
VCDI 0 90 44 308 865 3124 7744 5920
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61367 12063 187 198 27 0 0 0
OW 10 1221 252 416 107 2 0 0
VODI 0 419 245 759 341 42 0 0
ODI 0 128 40 431 665 185 9 0
CDI 0 248 56 400 1239 1573 372 16
VCDI 0 128 42 327 453 2999 8857 4592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61371 12032 187 212 33 0 0 0
OW 6 1261 253 400 103 2 0 0
VODI 0 421 234 755 347 45 1 0
ODI 0 134 55 434 659 194 8 0
CDI 0 233 50 380 1226 1588 424 14
VCDI 0 126 43 350 464 2972 8805 4594

Date: 2024-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59673 13039 291 271 22 0 0 0
OW 20 1181 307 528 104 3 0 0
VODI 0 322 192 818 376 78 0 0
ODI 0 129 36 440 728 223 22 0
CDI 0 207 38 463 1022 1399 565 12
VCDI 0 196 56 339 569 3681 7620 5446
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59674 13024 302 308 29 0 0 0
OW 19 1193 271 515 101 7 0 0
VODI 0 352 216 769 394 89 0 0
ODI 0 126 39 460 703 202 21 0
CDI 0 189 36 448 1033 1519 672 7
VCDI 0 190 56 359 561 3567 7514 5451

Date: 2024-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60007 13440 191 136 11 0 0 0
OW 80 1257 473 540 72 2 0 0
VODI 1 132 100 1103 341 21 0 0
ODI 0 124 39 430 860 111 0 0
CDI 0 186 65 338 1102 1818 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 88 519 3191 7924 5512
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60049 12652 194 170 15 0 0 0
OW 39 1241 278 523 131 20 0 0
VODI 0 616 163 687 268 62 0 0
ODI 0 200 80 411 574 142 8 1
CDI 0 201 80 534 1102 1243 407 11
VCDI 0 229 73 310 815 3676 7711 5500

Date: 2024-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59281 13958 202 152 18 0 0 0
OW 64 1194 355 477 122 5 0 0
VODI 0 311 140 922 271 31 0 0
ODI 0 102 43 481 792 113 2 0
CDI 0 83 62 352 1210 2131 358 0
VCDI 0 42 32 283 808 3224 8411 4384
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59253 13125 168 197 38 0 0 0
OW 43 1305 254 320 183 22 0 0
VODI 48 592 177 643 249 44 0 0
ODI 1 279 56 481 611 126 4 0
CDI 0 235 95 480 1097 1773 328 0
VCDI 0 154 84 546 1043 3539 8439 4384

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58460 14273 228 244 11 0 0 0
OW 47 1219 265 461 115 7 0 0
VODI 0 353 176 781 357 36 0 0
ODI 0 105 62 450 945 146 2 0
CDI 0 56 50 394 1007 1939 346 1
VCDI 0 77 25 235 905 3308 7763 5567
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58475 13351 232 381 65 6 0 0
OW 20 1320 158 284 209 16 0 0
VODI 11 763 188 559 282 65 0 0
ODI 1 280 73 473 679 123 1 0
CDI 0 207 103 411 1016 1537 325 2
VCDI 0 162 52 457 1089 3689 7785 5566


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