Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 14 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 12 31 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 25 75 37 1 0 0
ODI 0 37 21 26 27 4 0 0
CDI 0 22 23 35 26 43 5 1
VCDI 0 4 13 73 90 602 7846 23860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 16 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 9 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 26 91 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 17 30 30 0 0 0
CDI 0 44 10 16 29 2 16 0
VCDI 0 25 26 96 169 812 10210 21197
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 91 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 12 239 1 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 4 137 4 28 8 3 0 0
ODI 0 30 3 27 20 15 0 0
CDI 0 46 10 40 81 56 9 4
VCDI 0 106 38 213 441 1567 8019 21812
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 148 9 3 0 0 0 0
OW 84 121 4 34 3 0 0 0
VODI 19 125 22 49 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 8 49 27 2 0 0
CDI 0 78 21 77 124 66 13 0
VCDI 0 345 85 340 854 2940 6987 20354
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 40 154 10 4 0 0 0 0
OW 93 107 3 35 3 0 0 0
VODI 19 133 23 47 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 7 53 28 3 0 0
CDI 0 77 17 71 116 61 11 0
VCDI 0 342 89 342 866 2944 6989 20354

Date: 2024-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103 147 10 21 2 0 0 0
OW 57 171 5 39 6 0 0 0
VODI 21 152 13 46 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 52 9 45 42 11 0 0
CDI 0 75 18 97 107 92 4 13
VCDI 0 439 82 449 1027 3041 6029 20641
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105 150 10 21 2 0 0 0
OW 61 156 4 29 8 0 0 0
VODI 15 159 10 54 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 50 11 40 36 9 0 0
CDI 0 77 18 95 106 86 3 15
VCDI 0 444 84 458 1037 3049 6030 20639

Date: 2024-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 252 12 22 0 0 0 0
OW 12 280 30 29 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 5 80 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 11 63 54 0 0 0
CDI 0 169 57 136 247 228 15 1
VCDI 0 1 13 271 675 3060 6581 20619
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 168 12 17 0 0 0 0
OW 29 213 0 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 22 51 27 3 0 0
ODI 0 33 8 38 39 10 0 0
CDI 0 66 7 79 120 148 13 0
VCDI 0 227 79 405 800 3127 6583 20620

Date: 2024-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 236 8 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 228 16 49 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 11 65 33 1 0 0
ODI 0 39 2 30 49 1 2 0
CDI 0 50 2 27 101 68 34 0
VCDI 0 88 35 147 540 2226 7773 21132
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 153 8 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 232 5 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 8 30 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 5 46 17 1 0 0
CDI 0 36 4 43 75 71 52 0
VCDI 0 180 44 192 620 2224 7757 21132

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 189 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 184 37 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 27 75 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 18 39 37 3 0 0
CDI 0 42 5 21 61 43 10 0
VCDI 0 154 26 117 454 2000 7770 21610
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 131 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 144 18 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 147 39 33 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 42 16 23 5 3 3 0
CDI 0 31 5 35 37 45 9 0
VCDI 0 216 37 168 528 1998 7768 21610


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