Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5721 3020 44 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 286 94 95 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 25 337 77 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 288 66 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 249 451 215 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 2491 10700 36866
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5279 3008 37 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 254 124 151 28 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 23 368 82 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 299 73 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 256 348 178 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 2401 9022 39061
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5049 3010 17 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 297 118 84 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 17 427 120 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 342 69 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 144 812 232 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 267 2911 10807 36398
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5150 2904 29 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 369 100 88 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 49 402 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 81 309 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 163 544 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 73 2206 8308 40192
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5150 2893 27 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 386 109 104 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 42 385 69 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 78 282 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 178 563 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 70 2182 8291 40192

Date: 2024-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5426 2639 39 68 2 0 0 0
OW 0 462 54 51 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 98 354 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 143 278 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 351 223 33 4
VCDI 0 0 0 2 268 3668 8013 38909
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5426 2607 38 67 2 0 0 0
OW 0 504 79 78 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 75 330 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 140 270 9 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 350 252 30 6
VCDI 0 0 0 1 256 3636 8015 38907

Date: 2024-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5543 2813 49 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 333 139 106 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 20 379 132 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 34 239 49 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 126 469 17 5
VCDI 0 0 0 1 309 3024 8303 39085
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5543 2676 34 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 378 101 120 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 66 270 94 4 0 0
ODI 0 7 8 120 181 73 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 28 188 242 39 4
VCDI 0 0 0 7 341 3223 8281 39086

Date: 2024-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5871 2692 15 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 386 71 113 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 54 233 141 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 21 82 169 32 0 0
CDI 0 3 6 59 134 297 61 5
VCDI 0 1 1 51 459 2982 8078 39145
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5871 2546 21 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 342 34 105 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 200 56 173 123 3 0 0
ODI 0 42 37 108 179 66 1 0
CDI 0 8 17 65 112 230 41 4
VCDI 0 3 3 71 484 3012 8097 39146

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6159 2475 12 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 344 73 105 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 171 46 174 132 2 0 0
ODI 0 78 12 58 170 36 1 0
CDI 0 72 26 70 139 469 83 0
VCDI 0 8 15 195 473 3072 8516 38029
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6159 2329 29 40 1 0 0 0
OW 0 361 42 72 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 224 47 165 130 10 0 0
ODI 0 137 20 60 145 98 2 0
CDI 0 77 23 70 130 319 61 19
VCDI 0 20 23 198 500 3152 8537 38010


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