Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 12 9 4 2 7 0 0 0
VODI 10 86 9 58 29 0 0 0
ODI 6 75 11 8 4 3 0 0
CDI 12 7 20 24 10 22 9 1
VCDI 0 0 1 43 126 808 5799 25771
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 9 9 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 15 26 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 90 16 17 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 11 14 74 62 70 51 5
VCDI 0 0 0 5 107 905 7014 24345
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 14 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 8 57 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 11 39 25 23 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 60 25 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 70 123 23 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 313 4067 28020
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 63 13 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 23 36 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 21 64 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 23 39 23 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 9 65 34 68 5 1
VCDI 0 0 0 27 80 452 4909 26991
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 63 13 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 24 34 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 25 72 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 15 32 20 3 0 0
CDI 0 1 12 65 38 68 6 1
VCDI 0 0 0 29 78 453 4908 26991

Date: 2024-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 5 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 7 23 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 15 94 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 13 34 32 0 0 0
CDI 0 26 19 33 31 10 5 0
VCDI 0 4 9 86 98 738 9903 21684
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 5 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 8 24 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 15 93 42 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 12 32 25 0 0 0
CDI 0 21 20 36 39 12 3 0
VCDI 0 3 8 85 96 736 9905 21684

Date: 2024-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 13 2 0 0 0 0
OW 10 252 8 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 7 93 4 24 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 7 14 19 12 0 0
CDI 0 47 9 54 47 54 8 0
VCDI 0 39 24 99 264 1143 8326 22410
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 13 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 0 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 9 174 5 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 8 110 6 11 16 8 0 0
CDI 0 43 8 22 35 56 4 0
VCDI 0 102 33 142 279 1145 8330 22410

Date: 2024-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9 144 9 1 0 0 0 0
OW 42 187 6 21 3 0 0 0
VODI 11 131 7 41 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 4 43 23 9 0 0
CDI 0 59 3 76 85 85 23 1
VCDI 0 228 51 290 524 2714 7303 20910
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 66 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 11 49 8 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 40 119 3 23 1 0 0 0
ODI 11 116 1 36 12 7 0 0
CDI 0 162 3 87 98 72 28 0
VCDI 0 273 61 322 541 2729 7298 20911

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69 143 3 19 1 0 0 0
OW 78 128 3 51 3 0 0 0
VODI 31 156 11 50 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 13 53 25 3 0 0
CDI 0 77 13 102 112 79 5 0
VCDI 0 373 58 415 950 2978 6647 20389
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 65 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 39 16 3 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 99 38 0 28 1 0 0 0
ODI 33 93 1 30 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 203 9 89 51 54 2 1
VCDI 0 498 88 526 1051 3006 6650 20388


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