Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7547 2650 48 49 0 0 0 0
OW 5 205 50 149 27 0 0 0
VODI 3 59 26 147 121 21 0 0
ODI 2 13 5 54 118 111 9 0
CDI 0 12 0 17 162 298 95 14
VCDI 0 0 0 25 759 5175 11404 31851
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6630 3008 45 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 226 66 248 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 15 257 172 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 54 255 82 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 146 532 114 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 302 3814 12809 32373
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6150 3079 27 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 228 89 120 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 22 325 87 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 63 341 43 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 196 438 195 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 191 2769 10280 36521
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5960 2988 29 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 289 64 78 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 57 293 64 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 126 252 70 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 243 462 218 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 2681 10561 36652
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5960 3020 38 27 1 0 0 0
OW 0 248 59 87 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 53 260 75 4 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 139 239 97 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 225 472 226 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 2642 10553 36652

Date: 2024-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5471 3016 33 53 0 0 0 0
OW 0 282 121 109 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 21 359 66 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 71 289 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 267 341 225 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 2244 10568 37500
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5471 3054 45 58 2 0 0 0
OW 0 242 98 122 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 32 322 68 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 89 262 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 267 369 197 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 81 2204 10596 37500

Date: 2024-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5136 3042 31 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 232 147 96 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 24 475 65 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 450 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 159 684 113 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 2145 8703 39577
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5136 3058 48 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 194 122 183 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 32 312 111 23 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 88 264 82 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 237 417 231 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 89 2345 8585 39573

Date: 2024-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5255 2804 15 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 379 82 83 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 98 330 55 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 117 294 47 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 159 555 174 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 2542 10474 37585
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5255 2853 34 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 342 71 98 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 88 262 78 27 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 134 226 64 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 156 371 212 24
VCDI 0 0 0 1 116 2684 10423 37575

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5269 2745 50 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 403 81 91 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 88 375 44 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 129 285 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 279 441 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 151 3427 10041 37149
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5269 2883 35 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 283 118 118 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 64 342 70 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 6 142 225 59 5 0
CDI 0 1 0 33 277 387 118 17
VCDI 0 0 0 2 182 3441 9946 37132


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