Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69324 15039 202 383 28 0 0 0
OW 37 1922 268 476 112 6 0 0
VODI 13 725 287 714 331 41 0 0
ODI 8 292 97 485 411 163 39 0
CDI 12 65 126 487 949 1097 348 15
VCDI 0 2 3 294 1673 9561 25967 62741
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68288 15484 324 234 30 0 0 0
OW 0 1535 370 719 73 11 0 0
VODI 0 445 194 1003 378 34 0 0
ODI 0 241 53 551 584 180 9 0
CDI 0 120 93 430 1023 1651 624 39
VCDI 0 2 2 122 1150 7748 28053 62946
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66819 16460 281 232 27 0 0 0
OW 18 1353 404 752 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 298 174 1172 544 26 0 0
ODI 0 82 57 515 1030 140 3 0
CDI 0 41 48 268 1260 1975 397 34
VCDI 0 6 22 143 782 5884 22255 71163
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66703 15802 248 245 26 0 0 0
OW 3 1405 370 595 115 1 0 0
VODI 0 518 272 1144 398 63 0 0
ODI 0 188 115 664 822 198 0 0
CDI 0 110 68 466 1425 1751 328 66
VCDI 0 41 44 324 851 6369 23909 69096
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66705 15941 275 280 34 0 0 0
OW 1 1287 342 589 122 3 0 0
VODI 0 504 278 1083 420 60 0 0
ODI 0 189 108 662 783 233 0 0
CDI 0 107 65 501 1427 1754 316 48
VCDI 0 36 49 323 851 6332 23921 69114

Date: 2024-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66639 15238 193 201 8 0 0 0
OW 6 1375 373 557 181 8 0 0
VODI 1 614 235 1189 525 84 0 0
ODI 0 241 94 538 1001 189 3 0
CDI 0 241 105 403 1455 1351 346 81
VCDI 0 170 98 486 1140 6352 28333 64689
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66641 15357 212 235 12 0 0 0
OW 4 1284 365 557 173 9 0 0
VODI 1 618 227 1144 565 84 0 0
ODI 0 227 88 525 981 202 3 0
CDI 0 220 109 429 1437 1336 308 56
VCDI 0 173 97 484 1142 6353 28371 64714

Date: 2024-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66565 15707 194 118 17 0 0 0
OW 26 1960 627 505 77 0 0 0
VODI 7 289 147 1553 425 17 0 0
ODI 0 118 32 381 1128 213 1 0
CDI 0 211 126 494 1244 1684 193 7
VCDI 0 50 29 270 1236 6885 24915 67292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66563 15343 198 165 15 0 0 0
OW 14 1331 404 538 131 27 0 0
VODI 13 786 215 957 445 157 1 0
ODI 8 303 112 554 706 205 4 0
CDI 0 301 108 503 1196 1035 435 21
VCDI 0 271 118 604 1634 7375 24669 67278

Date: 2024-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66696 15257 195 143 35 0 0 0
OW 60 1949 358 442 83 9 0 0
VODI 12 579 324 1104 394 41 0 0
ODI 0 157 41 638 1045 219 3 0
CDI 0 290 86 519 1589 1629 376 30
VCDI 0 326 102 644 1332 8259 26061 63716
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66641 14727 233 207 69 7 0 0
OW 74 1477 268 456 121 45 0 0
VODI 42 813 239 742 406 157 7 0
ODI 11 395 112 585 701 166 37 0
CDI 0 660 113 689 1447 1080 509 35
VCDI 0 486 141 811 1734 8702 25887 63711

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65212 15920 307 409 43 0 0 0
OW 94 1674 293 671 126 11 0 0
VODI 31 602 232 1227 485 69 0 0
ODI 0 178 65 544 1048 212 24 0
CDI 0 306 76 540 1570 2055 495 73
VCDI 0 586 120 708 1584 9551 24995 62607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65064 15443 326 672 138 3 0 0
OW 133 1270 266 516 228 41 4 0
VODI 107 709 167 825 460 128 38 0
ODI 33 382 82 565 715 225 36 0
CDI 0 572 72 480 1361 1432 460 20
VCDI 0 890 180 1041 1954 10069 24976 62660


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