Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62148 12669 236 195 22 0 0 0
OW 1 1203 235 438 59 1 0 0
VODI 0 480 183 656 318 21 0 0
ODI 0 137 87 317 584 243 0 0
CDI 0 43 50 369 798 1496 309 0
VCDI 0 10 2 99 502 2463 9245 4797
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61645 12483 169 160 21 0 0 0
OW 5 1435 346 378 82 3 0 0
VODI 4 557 260 808 201 26 0 0
ODI 0 148 63 563 385 95 1 0
CDI 0 62 71 402 979 945 192 0
VCDI 0 10 16 238 754 3712 8750 4447
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61239 12934 192 245 18 0 0 0
OW 4 1589 439 583 88 0 0 0
VODI 1 213 142 1000 271 10 0 0
ODI 0 32 40 444 484 65 0 0
CDI 0 38 8 352 1047 919 100 0
VCDI 0 24 25 146 712 3728 8411 4873
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61956 12006 250 215 23 0 0 0
OW 3 1795 254 379 78 1 0 0
VODI 0 595 250 593 167 12 0 0
ODI 0 176 108 443 290 44 0 0
CDI 0 43 38 491 859 726 228 0
VCDI 0 14 30 203 881 3640 8426 5199
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61956 11990 255 241 32 0 0 0
OW 3 1803 258 376 77 2 0 0
VODI 0 593 247 584 163 13 0 0
ODI 0 185 107 435 300 42 0 0
CDI 0 45 33 493 914 775 215 0
VCDI 0 13 30 195 812 3591 8439 5199

Date: 2024-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61700 12421 278 179 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1537 223 378 66 7 0 0
VODI 0 434 197 660 152 29 0 0
ODI 0 142 80 433 327 77 32 0
CDI 0 58 68 467 776 906 344 51
VCDI 0 0 0 118 694 3282 8618 5658
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61700 12415 283 206 30 0 0 0
OW 0 1523 227 396 68 13 0 0
VODI 0 440 188 623 169 23 0 0
ODI 0 151 79 429 319 72 41 0
CDI 0 63 68 495 781 920 350 81
VCDI 0 0 1 86 672 3273 8603 5628

Date: 2024-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60697 13481 268 243 13 0 0 0
OW 13 1104 449 564 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 154 133 1004 274 8 0 0
ODI 0 31 22 476 493 65 0 0
CDI 0 21 31 303 983 1274 139 3
VCDI 0 0 3 36 442 2742 8439 6450
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60710 12988 279 359 38 0 0 0
OW 0 1151 302 480 101 2 0 0
VODI 0 350 178 702 262 21 0 0
ODI 0 151 49 466 342 126 4 0
CDI 0 100 64 485 882 1054 534 52
VCDI 0 51 34 134 638 2886 8040 6401

Date: 2024-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60802 12956 183 207 32 0 0 0
OW 10 1154 305 451 100 0 0 0
VODI 0 359 204 764 377 12 0 0
ODI 0 101 76 544 577 49 0 0
CDI 0 62 32 287 1116 1278 120 2
VCDI 0 37 45 218 798 2989 8857 5312
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60811 12313 217 270 61 0 0 0
OW 1 1223 219 441 114 0 0 0
VODI 0 560 181 597 351 31 0 0
ODI 0 318 87 431 514 73 2 0
CDI 0 180 88 521 1229 1133 279 64
VCDI 0 75 53 211 731 3091 8696 5250

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61029 12361 194 157 3 0 0 0
OW 3 999 283 522 104 3 0 0
VODI 0 521 177 818 327 53 0 0
ODI 0 211 87 491 620 89 0 0
CDI 0 187 72 337 1206 1185 66 77
VCDI 0 134 88 364 910 3888 7574 5276
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61024 11877 274 279 5 0 0 0
OW 8 937 230 643 130 2 0 0
VODI 0 637 104 549 390 57 0 0
ODI 0 418 83 399 500 114 0 1
CDI 0 390 144 490 1115 1049 245 156
VCDI 0 154 66 329 1030 3996 7395 5196


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