Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 42 19 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 25 60 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 5 115 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 73 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 98 160 2 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 287 3579 28491
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 10 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 44 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 137 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 77 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 94 111 11 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 286 3043 29122
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 4 18 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 22 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 156 54 1 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 28 65 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 66 61 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 396 6462 25651
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 11 0 6 8 14 0 0 0
VODI 10 0 1 122 57 0 0 0
ODI 6 1 0 64 34 1 1 0
CDI 9 0 0 24 47 25 11 5
VCDI 4 0 0 27 106 570 3917 27905
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 9 0 6 7 16 0 0 0
VODI 12 0 1 131 53 0 0 0
ODI 6 1 0 60 37 1 1 0
CDI 12 0 0 25 48 29 11 4
VCDI 1 0 0 22 104 566 3917 27906

Date: 2024-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73 34 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 6 21 3 3 8 0 0 0
VODI 4 73 8 33 62 0 0 0
ODI 0 92 12 7 5 0 0 0
CDI 1 20 25 29 23 32 6 9
VCDI 0 2 7 42 129 769 5783 25775
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73 34 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 6 21 3 2 10 0 0 0
VODI 4 81 9 33 58 0 0 0
ODI 0 89 11 7 7 1 0 0
CDI 1 17 29 33 23 37 7 14
VCDI 0 0 3 39 129 763 5782 25770

Date: 2024-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 95 36 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 21 44 42 5 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 55 25 14 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 19 90 94 28 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 359 6815 25159
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 110 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 15 21 24 4 0 0
VODI 0 33 11 22 23 13 0 0
ODI 0 52 26 20 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 15 11 67 76 80 32 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 375 6811 25149

Date: 2024-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 13 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 37 42 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 34 46 46 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 63 34 6 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 72 89 17 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 261 3851 28299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 15 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 10 42 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 13 35 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 12 30 13 3 0 0
CDI 0 16 35 61 36 59 8 5
VCDI 0 5 3 21 48 294 3861 28295

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 14 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 12 31 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 25 75 37 1 0 0
ODI 0 37 21 26 27 4 0 0
CDI 0 22 23 35 26 43 5 1
VCDI 0 4 13 73 90 602 7846 23860
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 63 17 29 1 0 0 0
OW 0 4 4 41 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 8 45 28 5 0 0
ODI 0 23 17 22 13 12 3 0
CDI 0 47 33 49 22 29 40 0
VCDI 0 36 29 78 92 604 7808 23861


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