Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7472 2430 62 51 0 0 0 0
OW 11 249 49 133 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 23 181 230 31 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 40 295 94 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 5 265 509 75 18
VCDI 0 0 0 3 1222 4738 13904 29055
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7904 2050 38 41 1 0 0 0
OW 17 252 38 105 46 5 0 0
VODI 5 47 7 205 203 49 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 49 307 169 1 0
CDI 0 3 0 31 262 663 145 1
VCDI 0 0 0 60 1510 5912 14398 26699
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8267 2062 24 33 0 0 0 0
OW 9 177 68 96 8 0 0 0
VODI 3 22 19 176 86 3 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 54 216 84 1 0
CDI 0 2 1 21 242 1047 224 2
VCDI 0 0 0 47 1031 5890 11853 29458
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7966 2370 28 40 0 0 0 0
OW 18 204 64 84 25 0 0 0
VODI 4 57 43 116 101 16 0 0
ODI 1 12 3 54 109 135 7 0
CDI 0 11 0 4 188 381 108 0
VCDI 0 3 0 13 944 5713 11690 30719
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7964 2361 27 44 0 0 0 0
OW 20 205 62 78 24 0 0 0
VODI 4 65 48 142 84 27 0 0
ODI 1 10 1 34 156 102 11 0
CDI 0 12 0 0 171 364 71 0
VCDI 0 4 0 13 932 5752 11723 30719

Date: 2024-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7046 2914 51 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 189 81 211 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 41 225 137 10 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 79 149 100 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 141 458 131 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 497 4210 13751 30714
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7046 2857 65 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 230 64 203 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 42 226 135 5 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 75 145 93 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 142 425 117 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 504 4255 13764 30713

Date: 2024-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6291 3151 19 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 215 91 140 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 15 330 89 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 21 391 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 157 630 57 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 196 3077 10769 35550
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6291 3014 30 43 0 0 0 0
OW 0 298 52 170 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 39 249 168 4 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 32 260 82 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 152 390 80 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 232 3244 10744 35550

Date: 2024-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6026 3050 28 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 275 69 89 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 38 308 79 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 93 305 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 252 480 228 33
VCDI 0 0 0 0 97 2793 10925 35956
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6026 2800 15 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 437 50 95 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 68 302 125 1 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 101 265 111 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 214 370 172 54
VCDI 0 0 0 0 133 2846 10980 35935

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5721 3020 44 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 286 94 95 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 25 337 77 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 288 66 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 249 451 215 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 2491 10700 36866
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5721 2897 38 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 344 87 130 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 37 305 172 26 0 0
ODI 0 9 1 78 231 157 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 175 259 243 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 76 2569 10652 36844


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