Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69620 15141 317 266 22 0 0 0
OW 12 1481 309 631 93 1 0 0
VODI 0 516 211 952 551 52 0 0
ODI 0 150 88 402 952 338 0 0
CDI 0 47 50 384 1161 2165 386 42
VCDI 0 10 2 102 1730 7488 26728 62343
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69549 14588 217 208 22 0 0 0
OW 22 1687 387 527 161 8 0 0
VODI 9 604 267 1150 427 75 0 0
ODI 0 155 64 640 769 264 2 0
CDI 0 65 71 435 1335 1719 348 10
VCDI 0 10 16 298 2265 9910 26191 60268
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69506 15055 220 296 19 0 0 0
OW 13 1766 508 701 113 0 0 0
VODI 4 235 170 1332 411 14 0 0
ODI 0 41 44 526 765 149 1 0
CDI 0 40 9 374 1355 2027 331 2
VCDI 0 24 25 193 1752 10014 26726 59982
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70032 14376 278 255 23 0 0 0
OW 32 1999 324 471 117 1 0 0
VODI 14 652 294 831 325 28 0 0
ODI 7 189 111 561 433 180 8 0
CDI 9 54 38 519 1094 1132 347 5
VCDI 4 17 30 243 1931 9923 24033 63823
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70030 14351 282 285 32 0 0 0
OW 32 2008 326 461 117 2 0 0
VODI 16 658 296 857 300 40 0 0
ODI 7 196 108 529 493 145 12 0
CDI 12 57 33 518 1133 1168 297 4
VCDI 1 17 30 230 1848 9909 24079 63824

Date: 2024-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68819 15369 329 190 24 0 0 0
OW 6 1747 307 592 78 7 0 0
VODI 4 556 246 918 351 39 0 0
ODI 0 238 92 519 481 177 35 0
CDI 1 78 93 507 940 1396 481 74
VCDI 0 2 7 160 1320 8261 28152 62147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68819 15306 348 236 30 0 0 0
OW 6 1774 294 601 80 13 0 0
VODI 4 587 239 882 362 28 0 0
ODI 0 243 92 511 471 166 45 0
CDI 1 80 97 531 946 1382 474 110
VCDI 0 0 4 125 1305 8291 28149 62111

Date: 2024-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66988 16735 289 244 13 0 0 0
OW 13 1414 576 716 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 194 169 1378 405 13 0 0
ODI 0 39 27 552 909 92 0 0
CDI 0 22 32 324 1230 1998 224 13
VCDI 0 0 3 36 677 6178 26023 67159
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67001 16112 311 402 38 0 0 0
OW 0 1463 369 671 146 6 0 0
VODI 0 448 228 973 453 38 0 0
ODI 0 215 79 518 611 208 6 0
CDI 0 115 75 552 1110 1524 646 72
VCDI 0 51 34 134 934 6505 25595 67100

Date: 2024-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66828 16074 224 238 32 0 0 0
OW 10 1451 411 582 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 399 276 1118 502 12 0 0
ODI 0 105 82 700 916 110 1 0
CDI 0 62 32 333 1440 1847 365 36
VCDI 0 37 45 218 907 6043 23633 69567
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66837 15183 247 296 61 0 0 0
OW 1 1660 279 578 153 0 0 0
VODI 0 662 262 934 507 32 0 0
ODI 0 347 103 562 792 187 3 0
CDI 0 196 123 587 1479 1562 459 123
VCDI 0 80 56 232 912 6231 23537 69480

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66750 15440 252 199 3 0 0 0
OW 3 1302 389 648 120 3 0 0
VODI 0 581 227 1230 441 57 0 0
ODI 0 248 108 608 935 159 0 0
CDI 0 209 95 384 1481 1679 286 82
VCDI 0 138 101 437 1045 6981 26120 66002
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66745 14837 329 331 6 0 0 0
OW 8 1285 321 814 175 2 0 0
VODI 0 719 149 899 590 88 0 0
ODI 0 450 101 499 744 283 23 1
CDI 0 437 177 556 1312 1337 528 182
VCDI 0 190 95 407 1198 7169 25855 65901


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