Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6667 2691 59 84 0 0 0 0
OW 14 211 67 197 34 0 0 0
VODI 5 6 10 306 355 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 72 526 182 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 370 972 207 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 941 4994 12686 29530
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6900 2505 56 54 0 0 0 0
OW 9 264 55 144 15 0 0 0
VODI 4 48 42 244 194 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 434 215 14 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 227 628 153 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1013 5079 14421 28467
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7292 2486 61 37 0 0 0 0
OW 12 284 77 131 22 0 0 0
VODI 5 15 36 249 233 19 0 0
ODI 1 4 0 65 256 107 3 0
CDI 0 2 0 3 183 665 304 27
VCDI 0 0 0 2 855 4343 13919 29533
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7168 2607 44 113 0 0 0 0
OW 11 252 37 157 40 0 0 0
VODI 1 30 8 195 232 36 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 48 248 110 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 8 171 677 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 549 4563 13973 29880
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7168 2668 53 136 0 0 0 0
OW 12 181 23 145 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 12 173 199 40 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 58 257 100 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 8 171 659 58 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 560 4587 13977 29880

Date: 2024-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7519 2458 46 45 0 0 0 0
OW 10 226 61 132 42 3 0 0
VODI 2 33 19 208 191 31 0 0
ODI 1 10 1 46 341 112 8 0
CDI 0 4 0 17 291 546 146 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 1504 5798 14173 27191
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7520 2498 50 57 0 0 0 0
OW 9 175 45 121 49 3 0 0
VODI 3 42 30 187 156 30 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 64 343 96 6 0
CDI 0 5 0 17 327 553 161 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 1494 5808 14160 27191

Date: 2024-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8105 2083 39 13 0 0 0 0
OW 10 177 77 116 5 0 0 0
VODI 3 19 3 155 158 2 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 28 385 67 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 31 329 925 30 4
VCDI 0 0 0 66 1496 5908 12917 28072
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8106 2004 28 36 8 0 0 0
OW 8 188 36 64 34 5 0 0
VODI 4 74 54 114 111 43 1 0
ODI 0 15 2 84 310 132 23 0
CDI 0 2 0 25 322 694 104 2
VCDI 0 2 1 86 1588 6028 12819 28074

Date: 2024-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7819 2490 56 47 0 0 0 0
OW 9 183 53 116 13 0 0 0
VODI 2 48 26 108 106 11 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 43 152 94 11 0
CDI 0 0 1 13 161 766 236 7
VCDI 0 0 0 14 837 5962 12360 29479
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7817 2259 34 71 18 0 0 0
OW 10 230 25 42 34 4 0 0
VODI 3 176 45 70 51 37 5 0
ODI 0 53 28 107 67 86 59 0
CDI 0 10 5 41 196 620 173 6
VCDI 0 0 0 10 903 6086 12370 29480

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7547 2650 48 49 0 0 0 0
OW 5 205 50 149 27 0 0 0
VODI 3 59 26 147 121 21 0 0
ODI 2 13 5 54 118 111 9 0
CDI 0 12 0 17 162 298 95 14
VCDI 0 0 0 25 759 5175 11404 31851
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7532 2459 36 37 11 0 0 0
OW 6 239 30 68 25 3 0 0
VODI 5 166 36 134 48 32 0 0
ODI 7 57 26 103 82 41 33 0
CDI 7 18 1 70 156 284 106 3
VCDI 0 0 0 29 865 5245 11369 31862


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