Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70916 14813 404 397 7 0 0 0
OW 209 1020 358 772 146 0 0 0
VODI 151 397 187 963 711 62 0 0
ODI 53 135 46 441 1019 248 0 0
CDI 0 143 29 324 1379 2232 668 28
VCDI 0 4 27 221 1540 8696 27742 58255
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69291 15444 401 389 35 0 0 0
OW 44 1200 316 791 145 2 0 0
VODI 46 514 159 853 578 23 0 0
ODI 31 170 60 400 1032 323 14 0
CDI 0 148 32 293 1324 2153 990 20
VCDI 0 53 45 252 1674 9560 27693 58245
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69577 15966 276 324 33 0 0 0
OW 14 1435 429 693 83 2 0 0
VODI 5 283 188 1146 547 29 0 0
ODI 1 19 27 468 881 220 3 0
CDI 0 2 2 236 1229 2217 468 28
VCDI 0 5 0 31 1447 8144 26923 61362
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69351 15567 259 335 17 0 0 0
OW 16 1538 309 615 96 0 0 0
VODI 1 490 196 1042 520 40 0 0
ODI 0 101 81 453 932 243 0 0
CDI 0 14 19 327 1240 2228 233 14
VCDI 0 5 0 44 1033 7696 28102 61586
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69352 15724 271 395 28 0 0 0
OW 14 1366 301 577 113 0 0 0
VODI 2 499 186 987 479 47 0 0
ODI 0 99 83 484 916 228 0 0
CDI 0 22 22 327 1266 2276 281 14
VCDI 0 5 1 46 1036 7656 28054 61586

Date: 2024-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68983 15557 249 226 25 0 0 0
OW 13 1437 341 726 119 10 0 0
VODI 3 491 199 1132 509 55 0 0
ODI 1 129 63 545 980 269 12 0
CDI 0 33 72 358 1370 1885 373 26
VCDI 0 10 15 178 2109 9620 25800 60820
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68984 15659 268 279 28 1 0 0
OW 11 1340 322 695 126 9 0 0
VODI 5 489 196 1094 480 61 0 0
ODI 0 124 56 548 960 256 10 0
CDI 0 28 76 351 1417 1887 439 24
VCDI 0 17 21 198 2101 9625 25736 60822

Date: 2024-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69567 15045 207 200 11 0 0 0
OW 25 1853 594 638 107 0 0 0
VODI 6 186 144 1479 427 10 0 0
ODI 0 33 30 441 1061 131 0 0
CDI 0 25 32 295 1417 2342 74 7
VCDI 0 0 2 187 2012 9230 26819 60106
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69577 14491 202 259 46 2 0 0
OW 12 1617 365 512 157 12 0 0
VODI 9 659 269 1041 318 78 1 0
ODI 0 190 56 624 730 236 24 0
CDI 0 121 72 420 1386 1665 294 7
VCDI 0 64 45 384 2398 9720 26574 60106

Date: 2024-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69523 14973 241 206 17 0 0 0
OW 14 1954 352 593 106 0 0 0
VODI 2 456 334 989 387 16 0 0
ODI 0 86 70 552 573 149 11 0
CDI 0 39 9 486 1278 1605 414 17
VCDI 0 30 23 194 1691 10219 25201 61933
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69522 14308 214 267 54 0 0 0
OW 14 1912 210 362 136 9 0 0
VODI 3 909 331 744 317 63 5 0
ODI 0 254 159 681 389 192 61 0
CDI 0 72 85 651 1132 1327 384 17
VCDI 0 83 30 315 2024 10398 25176 61933

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69324 15039 202 383 28 0 0 0
OW 37 1922 268 476 112 6 0 0
VODI 13 725 287 714 331 41 0 0
ODI 8 292 97 485 411 163 39 0
CDI 12 65 126 487 949 1097 348 15
VCDI 0 2 3 294 1673 9561 25967 62741
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69250 13871 166 375 53 0 0 0
OW 75 1990 145 302 113 15 0 0
VODI 18 1395 280 545 236 63 0 0
ODI 16 530 178 521 324 97 48 0
CDI 35 248 176 697 839 894 639 3
VCDI 0 11 38 399 1939 9799 25667 62753


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