Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67630 10178 185 221 7 0 0 0
OW 199 931 162 338 80 6 0 0
VODI 10 370 114 462 189 38 0 0
ODI 0 143 32 289 365 75 0 0
CDI 0 83 59 205 717 763 442 0
VCDI 10 21 28 239 713 3492 7525 4095
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67269 10286 188 239 19 0 0 0
OW 126 1038 138 254 97 2 0 0
VODI 3 559 163 358 210 17 0 0
ODI 0 223 64 296 312 79 0 0
CDI 0 138 85 387 685 933 231 0
VCDI 0 64 79 375 870 3131 6969 4529
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66491 11121 165 145 0 0 0 0
OW 224 1104 273 348 65 0 0 0
VODI 39 225 173 681 210 5 0 0
ODI 0 69 39 426 378 43 0 0
CDI 0 18 23 447 1061 873 222 0
VCDI 0 3 2 88 613 2654 7502 4686
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65109 11692 295 225 6 0 0 0
OW 205 790 314 564 106 0 0 0
VODI 158 280 137 625 253 16 0 0
ODI 13 112 47 359 372 64 0 0
CDI 0 79 16 285 908 939 252 0
VCDI 0 2 1 107 528 2717 8413 4427
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65104 11713 309 228 6 0 0 0
OW 221 793 320 591 103 0 0 0
VODI 155 262 121 609 267 24 0 0
ODI 5 120 44 342 345 52 0 0
CDI 0 65 15 283 902 925 251 0
VCDI 0 2 1 112 550 2735 8414 4427

Date: 2024-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62394 12972 302 451 64 0 0 0
OW 35 856 274 623 161 6 0 0
VODI 31 423 109 600 357 50 0 0
ODI 24 164 25 361 514 122 0 0
CDI 0 119 41 293 909 1337 600 0
VCDI 0 5 2 43 359 2502 7834 5454
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62398 13010 309 484 72 0 0 0
OW 36 838 281 614 160 10 0 0
VODI 32 417 102 596 370 52 0 0
ODI 18 156 18 352 465 130 0 0
CDI 0 117 39 268 911 1353 660 0
VCDI 0 1 4 57 386 2472 7774 5454

Date: 2024-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63654 12059 223 195 19 0 0 0
OW 460 737 360 569 36 0 0 0
VODI 45 151 100 899 298 8 0 0
ODI 6 10 13 260 791 50 0 0
CDI 3 1 0 129 998 1725 239 0
VCDI 0 5 1 13 259 2101 8395 5604
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63503 11689 234 279 32 0 0 0
OW 354 677 188 524 87 3 0 0
VODI 267 261 137 555 310 17 0 0
ODI 41 171 76 310 497 80 0 0
CDI 3 116 40 304 1061 1374 810 8
VCDI 0 49 22 93 414 2410 7824 5596

Date: 2024-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62198 13162 219 226 49 0 0 0
OW 6 1056 307 504 67 4 0 0
VODI 1 381 155 717 294 9 0 0
ODI 0 52 59 382 637 123 0 0
CDI 0 6 21 252 948 1324 49 0
VCDI 0 6 5 48 543 2725 8679 5202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62198 12385 212 220 68 2 0 0
OW 4 1207 212 404 71 5 0 0
VODI 2 650 166 579 316 20 0 0
ODI 1 221 93 368 477 123 0 0
CDI 0 144 55 410 1037 1433 246 0
VCDI 0 56 28 148 569 2602 8482 5202

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62148 12669 236 195 22 0 0 0
OW 1 1203 235 438 59 1 0 0
VODI 0 480 183 656 318 21 0 0
ODI 0 137 87 317 584 243 0 0
CDI 0 43 50 369 798 1496 309 0
VCDI 0 10 2 99 502 2463 9245 4797
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62138 11725 257 347 51 0 0 0
OW 9 1412 171 412 155 5 0 0
VODI 2 811 132 405 424 62 0 0
ODI 0 294 118 256 422 274 0 0
CDI 0 219 103 496 636 1368 450 0
VCDI 0 81 12 158 595 2515 9104 4797


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