Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 326 19 2 0 0 0 0
OW 1 95 7 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 24 41 19 5 0 0
ODI 0 28 17 62 152 199 0 0
CDI 0 28 8 54 246 353 8 0
VCDI 0 21 28 106 351 906 5138 24762
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15 272 17 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 128 3 6 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 16 34 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 24 71 45 44 0 0
CDI 0 4 11 108 129 216 2 16
VCDI 0 0 0 83 280 1494 4270 25731
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 361 16 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 76 7 17 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 11 40 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 18 41 42 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 9 110 78 89 2 2
VCDI 0 0 0 81 217 1719 4057 26002
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 259 11 43 6 0 0 0
OW 0 46 12 15 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 23 50 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 6 50 35 4 0 0
CDI 0 14 9 41 173 214 42 13
VCDI 0 29 25 124 229 1185 6570 23815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 257 12 42 6 0 0 0
OW 0 46 12 16 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 22 50 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 9 57 35 3 0 0
CDI 0 15 9 38 178 212 51 12
VCDI 0 25 22 120 224 1188 6561 23816

Date: 2024-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 177 14 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 77 3 7 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 27 27 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 16 54 20 1 0 0
CDI 0 6 12 78 174 129 3 22
VCDI 0 14 29 180 303 1891 6759 22970
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 182 14 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 71 7 11 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 21 23 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 19 62 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 12 18 82 179 131 6 24
VCDI 0 8 22 172 299 1890 6756 22968

Date: 2024-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 155 13 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 124 15 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 26 48 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 6 75 44 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 83 128 129 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 64 201 1594 5322 24994
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 13 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 89 0 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 11 16 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 26 48 30 0 0 0
CDI 0 4 9 46 90 22 6 1
VCDI 0 1 4 161 254 1701 5321 24993

Date: 2024-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 82 11 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 18 14 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 29 61 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 45 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 138 48 5 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 82 1111 5676 25514
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 39 11 39 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 0 5 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 33 23 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 13 63 27 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 44 112 35 12 5
VCDI 0 0 0 2 121 1124 5669 25518

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 42 19 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 25 60 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 5 115 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 73 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 98 160 2 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 287 3579 28491
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 39 15 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 20 64 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 12 109 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 25 44 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 28 117 88 2 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 360 3579 28507


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