Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73972 13864 317 321 8 0 0 0
OW 201 1501 261 616 163 17 0 0
VODI 10 606 221 1022 809 204 15 0
ODI 0 259 79 552 1291 529 62 0
CDI 0 124 71 310 1523 1918 698 0
VCDI 10 42 56 375 1323 8197 24599 58597
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73794 13585 260 321 29 0 0 0
OW 126 1677 232 466 142 2 0 0
VODI 3 768 289 826 706 126 23 0
ODI 0 262 125 667 1008 363 95 0
CDI 0 143 98 649 1465 1808 675 21
VCDI 0 64 80 500 1683 8256 21328 62078
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73354 14299 256 229 0 0 0 0
OW 239 1493 420 600 80 0 0 0
VODI 48 289 223 1102 564 25 0 0
ODI 6 82 58 660 958 228 0 0
CDI 0 20 32 614 1626 2409 376 2
VCDI 0 3 2 169 1305 8778 25819 58375
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71784 14716 384 372 12 0 0 0
OW 212 1012 400 862 158 0 0 0
VODI 167 318 176 983 698 18 0 0
ODI 13 120 53 505 1025 146 0 0
CDI 0 94 25 356 1776 2095 524 13
VCDI 0 31 26 297 1434 9382 29860 54696
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71778 14763 404 373 12 0 0 0
OW 230 987 401 910 157 0 0 0
VODI 163 306 159 941 714 27 0 0
ODI 5 127 53 500 1001 134 0 0
CDI 0 81 24 350 1759 2219 560 12
VCDI 0 27 23 301 1460 9261 29824 54697

Date: 2024-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69028 15858 363 568 64 0 0 0
OW 49 1162 339 814 192 6 0 0
VODI 33 474 161 872 610 97 0 0
ODI 24 170 41 440 920 488 10 0
CDI 0 125 53 371 1182 2311 879 30
VCDI 0 19 31 223 1492 9242 27448 58554
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69031 15907 374 587 72 0 0 0
OW 51 1132 343 852 183 10 0 0
VODI 34 470 151 834 635 89 0 0
ODI 18 161 37 432 855 481 6 0
CDI 0 129 57 354 1204 2301 1018 34
VCDI 0 9 26 229 1511 9263 27313 58550

Date: 2024-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71187 14373 261 248 19 0 0 0
OW 469 1177 454 724 52 0 0 0
VODI 50 205 136 1282 479 9 0 0
ODI 7 22 20 386 1217 97 0 0
CDI 3 4 4 237 1322 2627 442 25
VCDI 0 5 1 112 1511 8109 28108 59359
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71032 13892 280 353 33 0 0 0
OW 365 1037 241 623 126 3 0 0
VODI 274 436 170 802 524 27 0 0
ODI 42 230 106 444 726 220 28 0
CDI 3 139 52 452 1358 1808 1067 22
VCDI 0 52 27 315 1833 8784 27455 59362

Date: 2024-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69396 15832 275 317 49 0 0 0
OW 20 1422 388 676 118 4 0 0
VODI 4 432 204 988 476 80 0 0
ODI 0 59 59 505 877 271 6 0
CDI 0 8 21 262 1183 1916 464 32
VCDI 0 6 5 48 1153 8000 27070 62117
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69389 15037 282 339 78 2 0 0
OW 24 1488 266 574 110 5 0 0
VODI 6 781 213 799 508 81 1 0
ODI 1 248 107 475 611 286 38 0
CDI 0 149 56 459 1289 1816 482 15
VCDI 0 56 28 150 1260 8081 27019 62134

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69620 15141 317 266 22 0 0 0
OW 12 1481 309 631 93 1 0 0
VODI 0 516 211 952 551 52 0 0
ODI 0 150 88 402 952 338 0 0
CDI 0 47 50 384 1161 2165 386 42
VCDI 0 10 2 102 1730 7488 26728 62343
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69606 14251 358 511 72 0 0 0
OW 21 1533 234 608 238 6 0 0
VODI 5 924 148 602 654 159 1 0
ODI 0 328 121 318 582 473 16 0
CDI 0 225 104 535 962 1863 679 24
VCDI 0 84 12 163 2001 7543 26418 62361


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