Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73447 8350 205 264 193 79 0 0
OW 9 826 177 285 51 99 0 0
VODI 2 259 151 486 168 96 0 0
ODI 4 78 62 429 345 180 2 0
CDI 0 25 22 181 548 1170 145 0
VCDI 0 5 8 72 240 1077 6864 3812
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72347 9134 216 422 200 34 0 0
OW 11 569 175 440 77 70 0 0
VODI 3 143 92 561 336 103 0 0
ODI 1 33 27 363 370 172 0 0
CDI 0 9 14 178 576 1123 153 0
VCDI 0 3 3 51 216 1303 6691 4197
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71070 10332 366 469 173 6 0 0
OW 52 311 216 569 115 7 0 0
VODI 0 65 54 557 421 43 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 161 653 184 0 0
CDI 0 4 6 73 577 1089 148 0
VCDI 0 0 3 31 125 1301 7553 3669
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70045 11070 468 631 98 16 0 0
OW 17 314 138 608 181 16 0 0
VODI 0 47 32 413 436 83 0 0
ODI 0 11 13 159 392 312 0 0
CDI 0 13 3 124 426 915 189 0
VCDI 0 10 13 66 249 1526 7395 3987
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70041 11150 479 681 118 16 0 0
OW 21 229 126 548 181 12 0 0
VODI 0 52 39 405 418 78 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 191 403 287 2 0
CDI 0 13 4 111 425 945 152 0
VCDI 0 9 12 65 237 1530 7430 3987

Date: 2023-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70569 9903 391 709 148 29 0 0
OW 33 364 142 512 275 49 0 0
VODI 0 112 40 369 366 179 1 0
ODI 0 51 8 158 291 371 18 0
CDI 0 62 18 109 364 1199 309 0
VCDI 0 34 43 169 379 1117 6543 4982
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70558 9965 391 757 175 30 0 0
OW 44 294 140 445 270 45 0 0
VODI 0 108 42 378 328 169 0 0
ODI 0 60 9 183 276 383 13 0
CDI 0 59 10 108 400 1242 333 0
VCDI 0 40 50 155 374 1075 6525 4982

Date: 2023-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70250 10094 290 397 88 11 0 0
OW 42 533 310 443 77 22 0 0
VODI 0 162 58 792 281 30 0 0
ODI 1 48 32 210 565 102 14 0
CDI 4 18 32 219 482 1594 193 0
VCDI 5 0 0 12 304 995 6984 4722
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70205 9922 317 527 139 33 0 0
OW 87 519 192 436 174 43 7 0
VODI 0 188 102 447 313 85 14 0
ODI 1 72 37 282 244 413 48 0
CDI 5 102 37 213 512 1072 388 0
VCDI 4 52 37 168 415 1108 6734 4722

Date: 2023-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68900 10525 322 446 60 0 0 0
OW 14 507 222 617 141 26 0 0
VODI 0 174 106 625 430 73 0 0
ODI 0 74 16 360 492 139 0 0
CDI 1 4 8 217 1052 1741 275 0
VCDI 9 0 0 4 121 1580 6486 4649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68897 10262 291 497 110 34 0 0
OW 17 671 189 488 268 75 2 0
VODI 0 222 149 526 358 150 7 0
ODI 0 64 27 332 372 393 1 0
CDI 3 59 17 336 863 1443 512 2
VCDI 7 6 1 90 325 1464 6239 4647

Date: 2023-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69883 9508 233 291 51 2 0 0
OW 19 736 140 493 159 13 0 0
VODI 3 337 128 458 476 136 0 0
ODI 0 155 54 334 362 188 0 0
CDI 2 79 99 419 847 998 364 0
VCDI 8 0 1 55 288 2796 5877 4424
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69879 8925 173 342 119 34 0 0
OW 25 927 137 319 176 88 4 0
VODI 1 594 135 471 395 203 24 0
ODI 0 187 84 335 378 314 137 0
CDI 3 153 105 388 610 673 690 0
VCDI 7 29 21 195 505 2821 5386 4424


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