Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 775 86 71 7 0 0 0
OW 0 194 77 180 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 66 287 147 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 9 120 261 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 68 203 256 42 5
VCDI 0 0 0 21 154 1799 8518 19464
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 660 64 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 171 61 214 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 47 259 143 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 7 119 314 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 68 172 235 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 110 820 3975 25349
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 522 57 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 82 204 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 11 346 125 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 87 358 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 274 346 50 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 751 6208 23346
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 143 296 16 136 0 0 0 0
OW 7 27 31 185 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 5 191 250 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 285 174 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 137 419 73 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 571 6994 23062
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 142 297 16 122 3 0 0 0
OW 7 27 32 209 61 0 0 0
VODI 1 0 4 173 258 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 273 198 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 122 417 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 543 6989 23062

Date: 2023-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139 286 2 22 36 0 0 0
OW 15 32 22 73 179 5 0 0
VODI 4 2 10 70 229 96 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 172 256 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 84 453 143 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 309 5188 25199
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138 290 6 27 7 0 0 0
OW 14 29 18 77 209 5 0 0
VODI 6 1 10 61 234 111 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 172 255 44 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 76 467 156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 281 5152 25199

Date: 2023-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133 428 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 14 321 170 70 11 0 0 0
VODI 4 11 17 461 70 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 109 360 6 0 0
CDI 0 2 8 82 178 276 20 5
VCDI 0 0 0 47 224 735 6175 23142
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 127 364 4 1 0 0 0 0
OW 16 251 46 35 16 0 0 0
VODI 8 111 99 209 47 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 32 240 240 8 0 0
CDI 0 14 16 152 280 169 23 4
VCDI 0 5 10 133 260 840 6172 23143

Date: 2023-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 144 495 14 2 0 0 0 0
OW 7 449 59 87 5 0 0 0
VODI 1 149 97 279 110 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 19 134 243 10 0 0
CDI 0 34 13 102 170 217 50 3
VCDI 0 27 22 155 267 1290 6666 21746
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 126 361 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 15 310 35 49 0 0 0 0
VODI 11 246 77 165 68 0 0 0
ODI 0 117 44 193 213 14 0 0
CDI 0 80 34 146 215 193 47 3
VCDI 0 70 34 205 299 1310 6669 21746

Date: 2023-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 154 423 13 1 0 0 0 0
OW 5 247 36 109 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 181 69 335 222 23 0 0
ODI 0 51 24 80 203 113 0 0
CDI 0 32 26 107 146 337 32 0
VCDI 0 35 24 109 322 1723 5847 22036
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133 335 6 7 0 0 0 0
OW 15 140 31 65 5 0 0 0
VODI 11 196 53 273 153 8 0 0
ODI 0 101 18 124 222 61 0 0
CDI 0 128 46 100 123 269 16 0
VCDI 0 69 38 172 421 1858 5863 22036


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