Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-12-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89279 14434 659 917 213 79 0 0
OW 93 1505 352 1483 382 105 0 0
VODI 3 420 260 1220 647 321 0 0
ODI 5 139 80 736 823 500 2 0
CDI 0 37 39 323 1051 2203 333 17
VCDI 0 5 8 113 986 5614 23061 46296
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87007 14980 633 949 201 34 0 0
OW 99 1771 381 1572 222 79 0 0
VODI 27 308 183 1681 1022 365 0 0
ODI 1 68 46 747 952 528 4 0
CDI 0 21 28 334 1020 2148 471 20
VCDI 0 3 3 78 717 5048 21823 49169
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85069 17085 656 716 173 6 0 0
OW 165 1236 574 1320 184 7 0 0
VODI 14 140 93 2137 1010 51 0 0
ODI 0 20 4 435 1622 357 14 0
CDI 0 6 6 152 1061 2193 402 6
VCDI 0 0 3 39 329 4367 25736 47355
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83667 17334 691 1043 103 16 0 0
OW 202 1517 376 1131 327 16 0 0
VODI 18 470 268 1647 1010 151 0 0
ODI 0 79 45 384 1165 614 0 0
CDI 0 29 14 200 950 2039 398 1
VCDI 0 10 18 129 444 4315 25262 48660
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83651 17401 705 1124 141 16 0 0
OW 211 1431 376 1064 330 13 0 0
VODI 24 491 264 1586 960 164 0 0
ODI 1 82 37 445 1181 601 2 0
CDI 0 25 16 196 940 2144 404 4
VCDI 0 9 14 119 447 4213 25254 48657

Date: 2023-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82832 15812 837 1279 184 29 0 0
OW 653 1097 366 1484 600 56 0 0
VODI 368 304 114 1015 1413 331 2 0
ODI 23 76 16 348 900 1000 55 0
CDI 0 74 23 167 686 2777 948 20
VCDI 0 34 47 227 606 3041 18702 56197
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82771 15849 826 1479 185 30 0 0
OW 625 1053 368 1286 658 50 0 0
VODI 457 302 126 1007 1358 360 0 0
ODI 23 89 16 373 871 937 76 0
CDI 0 64 15 166 719 2895 1009 20
VCDI 0 40 52 209 598 2962 18622 56197

Date: 2023-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80601 16696 703 1234 167 11 0 0
OW 277 1436 795 1328 261 22 0 0
VODI 19 236 105 2107 826 35 0 0
ODI 1 55 37 508 1845 211 14 0
CDI 4 20 40 325 1383 3240 246 5
VCDI 5 0 0 65 667 3664 20081 55468
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80500 16010 729 1635 358 33 0 0
OW 333 1613 473 1189 651 44 7 0
VODI 59 537 301 1317 1171 273 14 0
ODI 6 110 77 715 1070 918 86 0
CDI 5 116 53 398 1060 2247 1094 4
VCDI 4 57 47 313 839 3668 19140 55469

Date: 2023-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78003 16495 643 1581 494 1 0 0
OW 195 1560 456 1514 654 69 0 0
VODI 54 450 251 1628 1160 181 0 0
ODI 1 104 36 781 1314 415 0 0
CDI 1 38 21 377 1614 3059 491 7
VCDI 9 27 22 175 884 6121 20039 53818
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77962 15600 543 1448 653 37 0 0
OW 176 1930 445 1411 837 175 2 0
VODI 106 747 283 1451 1089 464 7 0
ODI 9 182 72 876 1051 1012 41 0
CDI 3 139 51 554 1437 2907 1392 5
VCDI 7 76 35 316 1053 5251 19088 53820

Date: 2023-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78866 14648 480 995 513 35 0 0
OW 152 1674 360 1313 683 168 0 0
VODI 120 723 309 1438 1405 384 0 0
ODI 6 221 89 644 1238 677 0 0
CDI 2 117 130 592 1406 2785 401 0
VCDI 8 48 28 190 914 8072 17706 55203
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78678 13172 350 1020 678 88 0 0
OW 217 2087 336 947 646 285 4 0
VODI 178 1398 325 1388 1332 587 24 0
ODI 71 365 152 853 1184 874 141 0
CDI 3 294 174 594 1108 2918 888 0
VCDI 7 115 59 370 1211 7369 17050 55203


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V3/SIconcentrationValidation5/SICmultiWebPage5.sh Fri 22 Dec 2023 02:54:12 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy