Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 151 1289 116 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 188 67 115 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 159 44 177 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 44 119 20 4 0 0
CDI 0 9 22 150 188 107 15 0
VCDI 0 2 17 140 271 631 5912 23033
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1231 93 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 207 66 144 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 14 219 48 0 0 0
ODI 0 52 13 156 40 3 0 0
CDI 0 39 13 123 151 79 79 0
VCDI 0 54 23 169 328 589 5549 23296
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 151 1083 118 77 0 0 0 0
OW 0 224 59 226 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 25 286 76 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 100 242 20 0 0
CDI 0 13 8 68 278 238 6 0
VCDI 0 40 23 100 266 1438 7788 20084
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 892 79 75 8 0 0 0
OW 0 225 97 136 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 69 274 108 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 138 249 8 0 0
CDI 0 5 22 107 265 348 31 11
VCDI 0 0 0 61 211 1803 11249 16351
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 893 79 79 42 0 0 0
OW 0 207 96 140 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 68 276 112 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 6 129 238 5 0 0
CDI 0 5 21 105 275 357 33 15
VCDI 0 0 1 62 203 1797 11247 16347

Date: 2023-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 746 63 47 0 0 0 0
OW 0 177 95 189 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 50 281 115 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 10 100 328 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 54 164 231 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 128 1121 7267 21626
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 746 69 65 3 0 0 0
OW 0 167 80 187 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 58 267 130 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 12 101 297 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 51 183 240 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 127 1113 7271 21626

Date: 2023-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 610 53 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 99 99 175 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 15 406 84 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 462 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 251 356 19 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 702 5051 24423
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 546 59 95 10 0 0 0
OW 0 133 64 203 37 5 0 0
VODI 0 29 34 241 177 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 5 89 295 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 51 218 191 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 81 828 5065 24426

Date: 2023-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 148 407 76 57 0 0 0 0
OW 2 40 51 188 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 6 287 172 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 349 70 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 201 362 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 741 6490 23239
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 146 382 47 72 17 0 0 0
OW 4 56 58 182 77 2 0 0
VODI 0 9 24 226 191 31 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 79 287 122 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 129 253 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 101 767 6516 23239

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138 289 9 61 5 0 0 0
OW 11 31 23 179 96 0 0 0
VODI 2 0 6 135 244 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 261 190 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 115 424 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 479 6778 23451
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133 261 8 113 23 5 0 0
OW 13 44 6 101 163 14 0 0
VODI 5 14 24 121 180 104 14 0
ODI 0 1 0 54 241 234 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 101 282 59 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 489 6814 23444


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