Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93012 14773 351 480 199 0 0 0
OW 33 1378 289 597 208 37 0 0
VODI 13 716 280 775 416 171 12 0
ODI 1 221 188 568 412 259 2 0
CDI 0 60 63 823 1406 1506 81 0
VCDI 0 12 36 255 1023 6487 20577 47023
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91636 15317 413 466 112 0 0 0
OW 53 1451 268 727 253 61 0 0
VODI 13 701 213 812 534 275 0 0
ODI 1 257 143 588 484 287 0 0
CDI 0 120 84 751 1249 1407 133 0
VCDI 0 73 48 356 1098 6011 19301 49047
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90700 15342 543 693 177 0 0 0
OW 34 1660 335 934 200 37 0 0
VODI 6 409 215 1164 569 84 0 0
ODI 1 73 69 609 1072 376 1 0
CDI 0 41 25 321 1652 2434 149 3
VCDI 0 49 36 165 716 6704 20852 46293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90157 14444 604 1070 196 38 0 0
OW 130 1573 391 929 363 92 0 0
VODI 12 483 296 1086 501 270 0 0
ODI 3 165 68 794 864 353 5 0
CDI 0 36 56 399 1391 2023 327 14
VCDI 0 1 5 140 945 5402 25778 43339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90152 14524 614 1139 245 35 0 0
OW 132 1463 385 865 324 99 0 0
VODI 17 515 296 1098 519 273 2 0
ODI 1 167 71 794 830 305 6 0
CDI 0 32 48 386 1384 2115 338 19
VCDI 0 1 6 136 958 5351 25764 43334

Date: 2023-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88070 14687 545 1127 229 58 0 0
OW 98 1559 379 1489 335 89 0 0
VODI 15 431 195 1392 852 408 0 0
ODI 2 102 56 704 873 569 24 0
CDI 2 29 36 315 916 2186 456 0
VCDI 0 8 11 95 908 5104 23562 46827
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88074 14815 611 1272 243 58 0 0
OW 98 1394 311 1394 315 108 0 0
VODI 12 457 191 1318 857 398 0 0
ODI 3 121 72 728 826 541 26 0
CDI 0 23 27 330 992 2233 492 2
VCDI 0 6 10 80 880 5076 23524 46825

Date: 2023-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85842 16818 562 552 148 9 0 0
OW 85 1346 721 1217 72 18 0 0
VODI 3 131 83 2620 701 35 0 0
ODI 0 17 8 386 2063 226 0 0
CDI 0 1 5 133 1121 2578 186 8
VCDI 0 0 0 4 233 4616 24562 47633
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85811 16186 622 939 201 16 0 0
OW 113 1641 455 1196 189 72 0 0
VODI 6 360 214 1735 952 269 33 0
ODI 0 96 46 601 1317 300 72 0
CDI 0 30 40 339 1096 1599 717 9
VCDI 0 0 2 102 583 5226 23926 47632

Date: 2023-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84716 16890 696 884 167 0 0 0
OW 189 1387 466 1136 280 3 0 0
VODI 17 194 182 1988 969 139 0 0
ODI 0 36 17 440 1407 451 2 0
CDI 0 13 12 187 1028 2229 402 1
VCDI 0 1 9 80 412 4658 25230 47825
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84619 16156 595 818 253 9 0 0
OW 234 1728 440 1071 321 99 0 0
VODI 69 492 245 1681 864 414 38 0
ODI 0 90 49 580 1258 566 69 0
CDI 0 49 35 378 868 1507 615 0
VCDI 0 6 18 187 699 4885 24912 47826

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83178 16946 848 915 142 25 0 0
OW 292 1463 441 1267 408 50 0 0
VODI 92 553 178 1424 1044 194 10 0
ODI 1 79 36 382 955 816 54 0
CDI 0 47 13 227 682 2506 628 6
VCDI 0 23 36 215 480 3383 21983 52721
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82982 16073 718 932 108 42 0 0
OW 361 1746 354 945 434 73 12 0
VODI 206 1023 354 1357 930 484 113 0
ODI 14 143 60 599 956 1100 68 0
CDI 0 69 23 319 702 1721 537 16
VCDI 0 57 43 278 581 3554 21945 52711


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