Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 170 1907 25 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 126 79 86 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 8 169 75 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 28 193 25 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 164 344 29 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1181 11058 17379
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1382 115 149 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 57 216 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 9 236 47 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 26 185 22 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 8 144 258 25 1
VCDI 0 5 0 0 47 568 8482 20891
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1216 113 162 4 0 0 0
OW 0 74 58 142 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 16 282 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 121 165 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 224 218 47 5
VCDI 0 0 0 17 67 479 6533 22896
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1177 126 109 0 0 0 0
OW 0 121 61 141 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 67 263 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 13 166 68 37 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 86 213 213 58 3
VCDI 0 0 0 69 159 543 7463 21701
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1161 128 119 0 0 0 0
OW 0 132 62 124 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 60 267 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 16 169 70 37 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 71 211 207 66 3
VCDI 0 0 0 84 161 549 7455 21701

Date: 2023-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 158 1307 83 43 0 0 0 0
OW 2 191 68 127 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 34 201 42 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 22 128 32 3 0 0
CDI 0 26 22 123 168 82 60 0
VCDI 0 47 26 174 297 709 6420 22328
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 159 1309 82 54 0 0 0 0
OW 1 168 71 124 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 31 201 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 23 138 33 2 0 0
CDI 0 28 20 107 181 103 85 0
VCDI 0 50 28 172 282 689 6395 22328

Date: 2023-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1180 103 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 286 96 118 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 35 336 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 149 202 5 0 0
CDI 0 15 3 56 272 163 7 0
VCDI 0 22 15 91 206 749 6771 21940
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1126 116 80 0 0 0 0
OW 0 162 64 165 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 21 207 78 0 0 0
ODI 0 60 19 109 114 4 0 0
CDI 0 25 11 81 172 100 22 0
VCDI 0 55 24 156 326 813 6756 21940

Date: 2023-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 151 975 105 64 11 0 0 0
OW 0 226 61 193 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 45 273 100 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 8 115 259 25 0 0
CDI 0 18 15 81 284 310 1 9
VCDI 0 38 23 119 352 1719 7318 20106
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 151 926 105 97 2 0 0 0
OW 0 152 56 191 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 21 163 186 3 0 0
ODI 0 48 29 139 167 12 0 0
CDI 0 30 11 91 242 266 0 18
VCDI 0 65 35 164 397 1773 7319 20097

Date: 2023-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 775 86 71 7 0 0 0
OW 0 194 77 180 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 66 287 147 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 9 120 261 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 68 203 256 42 5
VCDI 0 0 0 21 154 1799 8518 19464
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 703 74 96 16 0 0 0
OW 0 164 68 173 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 43 166 203 3 1 0
ODI 0 39 47 131 188 55 21 1
CDI 0 0 7 147 196 300 83 10
VCDI 0 0 0 34 195 1712 8455 19458


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