Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-11-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97283 12912 369 570 154 0 0 0
OW 171 597 339 899 580 57 0 0
VODI 33 111 75 788 1116 107 0 0
ODI 0 20 25 237 1400 369 2 0
CDI 0 9 7 150 1312 2488 196 10
VCDI 0 0 0 145 426 5434 25162 41190
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95925 12954 404 479 93 11 0 0
OW 205 884 330 863 334 115 0 0
VODI 51 201 127 1095 540 401 26 0
ODI 5 29 17 467 890 502 77 0
CDI 0 5 13 196 1232 2096 494 5
VCDI 0 5 0 99 439 3447 22813 46874
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94299 14063 479 614 118 0 0 0
OW 102 1019 336 548 177 19 0 0
VODI 14 146 226 1155 651 129 0 0
ODI 0 38 10 562 1220 249 0 0
CDI 1 4 9 157 1423 1894 340 5
VCDI 0 0 2 108 628 4173 20662 49163
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92738 15142 417 568 226 4 0 0
OW 51 1125 335 671 181 62 0 0
VODI 11 407 288 1031 460 163 37 0
ODI 1 87 95 713 546 258 18 0
CDI 0 44 38 579 1752 1116 107 5
VCDI 0 17 20 214 1161 7527 21090 45438
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92739 15182 435 631 224 4 0 0
OW 50 1065 343 633 206 65 0 0
VODI 10 421 263 996 451 160 40 0
ODI 1 92 84 718 530 260 16 0
CDI 1 43 49 565 1818 1044 115 4
VCDI 0 19 19 233 1097 7597 21081 45439

Date: 2023-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93182 14323 332 390 164 0 0 0
OW 84 1369 287 679 201 57 0 0
VODI 18 628 204 847 521 176 0 0
ODI 2 230 105 617 477 284 0 0
CDI 0 94 69 737 1357 1603 128 3
VCDI 0 54 43 280 934 6140 19833 48291
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93193 14398 331 472 173 0 0 0
OW 73 1258 293 638 217 61 0 0
VODI 18 652 196 805 496 180 0 0
ODI 1 230 95 631 472 295 0 0
CDI 1 105 85 731 1370 1568 163 3
VCDI 0 55 40 273 926 6156 19798 48291

Date: 2023-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91156 15641 401 530 121 0 0 0
OW 40 1847 529 629 190 22 0 0
VODI 6 240 209 1492 427 71 0 0
ODI 1 53 32 610 1233 184 2 0
CDI 0 48 34 300 1466 2587 61 0
VCDI 0 22 17 118 575 6001 19769 48079
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91156 15217 469 726 169 0 0 0
OW 35 1289 240 717 342 73 0 0
VODI 11 780 213 664 640 277 0 0
ODI 0 329 99 507 607 345 0 0
CDI 1 146 146 700 1227 1411 93 0
VCDI 0 90 55 365 1027 6759 19739 48079

Date: 2023-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90248 15052 688 800 212 3 0 0
OW 41 1673 334 845 378 16 0 0
VODI 3 462 257 1060 496 212 1 0
ODI 2 115 87 640 983 383 4 0
CDI 0 44 40 399 1841 2246 127 16
VCDI 0 38 23 150 766 5821 21927 46310
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90144 14252 574 832 276 21 0 0
OW 126 1580 313 727 446 202 0 0
VODI 20 914 235 780 546 380 0 0
ODI 4 338 118 565 695 302 1 0
CDI 0 203 132 678 1652 1457 48 24
VCDI 0 97 57 312 1061 6319 22010 46302

Date: 2023-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89279 14434 659 917 213 79 0 0
OW 93 1505 352 1483 382 105 0 0
VODI 3 420 260 1220 647 321 0 0
ODI 5 139 80 736 823 500 2 0
CDI 0 37 39 323 1051 2203 333 17
VCDI 0 5 8 113 986 5614 23061 46296
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89000 13402 544 997 282 70 0 0
OW 302 1532 270 1119 267 316 0 0
VODI 71 1038 249 964 587 452 18 0
ODI 5 344 221 712 575 441 25 1
CDI 2 178 92 790 1242 2102 466 27
VCDI 0 46 22 210 1149 5441 22887 46285


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