Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2023-11-09

Model: ARC-MFC PHYS (TOPAZ)

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-13

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 5 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 15 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 3 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 79 240 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 444 7955 28076
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 2 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 1 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 53 171 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 516 7965 28076

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 39 13 11 0 0 0 0
OW 5 3 4 41 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 48 82 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 64 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 75 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 871 868 936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 35 11 4 0 0 0 0
OW 1 8 7 88 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 78 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 13 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2 14 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 938 868 936

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 14 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 8 98 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 213 160 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 684 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 264 194 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 1392 3010 3783
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 17 77 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 132 87 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 115 330 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 376 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 253 103 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 128 1483 3009 3783

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1077 1757 29 0 0 0 0 0
OW 32 361 94 62 0 0 0 0
VODI 4 26 22 194 52 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 29 146 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 82 52 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 694 791 52
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1070 1528 35 5 0 0 0 0
OW 39 346 30 41 4 0 0 0
VODI 4 247 42 81 38 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 32 77 75 1 0 0
CDI 0 8 6 75 113 43 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 119 711 791 52

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 9 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 63 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 15 46 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 2 32 36 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 46 315 4709 1845
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 39 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 4 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 4 33 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 35 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 14 58 21 0 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 57 330 4709 1845

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 291 2767 2241
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 291 2767 2241

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 246 1532 6 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 132 81 67 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 16 295 69 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 217 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 88 185 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 381 2746 169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 246 1508 8 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 95 48 74 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 35 190 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 12 101 142 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 122 145 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 407 2732 169

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7707 2285 27 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 107 94 72 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 7 210 55 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 214 77 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 30 374 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 9 1 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7707 2236 60 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 146 62 150 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 6 134 140 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 133 104 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 7 326 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5620 2177 24 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 154 91 66 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 15 246 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 139 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 161 341 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 168 2140 202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5620 2128 27 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 174 47 78 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 49 143 41 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 7 100 89 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 191 275 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 226 2132 202

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10394 1823 83 149 30 0 0 0
OW 0 6 11 84 127 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 29 60 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 49 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 16 41 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10394 1820 75 158 35 0 0 0
OW 0 9 15 59 148 37 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 37 43 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 43 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 13 34 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1083 1211 119 92 0 0 0 0
OW 23 215 63 193 0 0 0 0
VODI 12 43 19 380 93 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 73 349 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 185 551 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 120 821 136 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1048 1163 127 143 0 0 0 0
OW 55 157 55 275 12 0 0 0
VODI 15 119 19 245 189 3 0 0
ODI 0 32 0 59 219 224 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 185 269 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 142 884 134 0

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7526 471 12 11 0 0 0 0
OW 19 31 11 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 63 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 30 49 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 59 70 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 75 25 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7516 451 8 11 0 0 0 0
OW 29 46 10 23 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 5 26 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 22 25 21 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 29 22 39 0 0
VCDI 0 1 0 36 123 45 0 0

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15739 0 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15719 0 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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