Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-10-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81814 5935 196 241 3 0 0 0
OW 0 203 85 212 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 47 270 69 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 14 168 260 14 0 0
CDI 0 5 14 174 611 433 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 150 2782 4866 1712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83555 4160 50 44 3 0 0 0
OW 0 365 76 113 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 223 73 196 47 2 0 0
ODI 0 133 53 225 133 38 0 0
CDI 0 69 56 172 548 472 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 104 1875 5902 1709
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83306 4477 80 56 8 0 0 0
OW 0 499 163 288 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 59 368 84 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 9 157 251 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 449 785 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 1708 5804 1673
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82807 4744 104 138 24 1 0 0
OW 2 413 144 292 65 11 0 0
VODI 0 39 45 345 93 5 0 0
ODI 0 7 15 230 148 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 61 515 605 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 1592 3950 3667
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82805 4774 114 178 35 5 0 0
OW 4 384 137 258 56 7 0 0
VODI 0 38 42 355 87 13 0 0
ODI 0 7 16 216 151 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 517 618 225 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 98 1580 3935 3667

Date: 2023-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82615 4665 113 110 32 0 0 0
OW 2 424 153 297 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 43 297 91 10 0 0
ODI 0 9 11 255 171 33 1 0
CDI 0 0 6 89 359 485 257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 151 1372 4536 3695
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82612 4694 132 145 38 0 0 0
OW 5 400 134 297 75 1 0 0
VODI 0 39 41 289 99 15 0 0
ODI 0 6 14 231 159 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 86 374 485 293 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 140 1365 4501 3695

Date: 2023-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82074 5079 130 132 42 6 0 0
OW 5 308 145 257 93 1 0 0
VODI 0 11 42 487 186 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 219 315 87 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 328 547 70 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 788 6033 2943
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82039 4754 137 163 41 6 0 0
OW 39 554 85 265 131 4 0 0
VODI 1 70 65 233 152 31 0 0
ODI 0 19 23 255 111 50 13 0
CDI 0 1 10 183 379 433 356 6
VCDI 0 0 0 6 217 911 5734 2939

Date: 2023-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81342 5453 183 145 32 24 0 0
OW 10 295 165 287 81 19 0 0
VODI 0 58 49 414 145 15 0 0
ODI 0 4 12 243 226 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 347 403 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 87 792 6315 3040
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81323 5028 164 144 17 22 0 0
OW 28 588 112 319 105 20 0 0
VODI 1 129 85 228 132 49 6 0
ODI 0 55 25 215 130 46 16 0
CDI 0 10 23 225 361 382 415 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 173 795 5976 3040

Date: 2023-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80818 5680 159 238 24 32 0 0
OW 19 193 151 347 126 33 0 0
VODI 2 11 19 304 230 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 92 341 59 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 420 341 58 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 750 5358 4495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80817 5237 135 239 6 19 0 0
OW 20 523 88 272 182 54 0 0
VODI 2 104 83 221 168 55 0 0
ODI 0 20 22 170 213 55 6 0
CDI 0 0 2 103 499 298 246 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 136 762 5164 4495


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