Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-10-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3797 3883 330 661 496 0 0 0
OW 10 442 188 925 999 187 0 0
VODI 15 70 61 671 1092 341 0 0
ODI 1 19 8 146 529 447 0 0
CDI 0 6 3 64 440 955 73 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 319 1811 6525 7579
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3271 3562 305 713 323 0 0 0
OW 0 438 163 690 783 153 0 0
VODI 0 109 112 726 1336 472 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 282 1038 285 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 143 672 719 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 497 2613 6430 7242
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2878 3171 244 364 287 0 0 0
OW 0 230 164 497 402 23 0 0
VODI 0 10 18 510 966 63 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 1483 1011 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 773 2811 96 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 87 2735 7597 6606
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2144 2061 308 748 297 30 0 0
OW 0 115 87 497 351 226 0 0
VODI 0 3 9 265 684 586 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 731 851 59 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 598 2820 602 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 180 2811 6798 9179
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2144 2123 338 853 347 108 0 0
OW 0 55 62 406 291 174 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 243 750 514 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 600 746 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 654 2678 433 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 199 3104 6998 9179

Date: 2023-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1867 1362 112 374 93 27 0 0
OW 0 88 117 592 785 164 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 216 614 679 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 324 999 128 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 146 2123 624 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 2738 7325 11551
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1867 1435 185 487 286 52 0 0
OW 0 15 44 546 619 170 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 152 594 576 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 292 914 97 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 165 2079 573 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 2939 7408 11551

Date: 2023-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1556 1638 50 55 1 0 0 0
OW 0 71 43 188 132 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 385 442 50 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 704 620 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 265 2607 135 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2524 5945 15631
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1556 1592 62 195 106 8 0 0
OW 0 114 27 372 439 230 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 87 647 866 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 127 873 43 5
CDI 0 0 0 0 96 1368 479 124
VCDI 0 0 0 0 129 2467 5564 15511

Date: 2023-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2022 1252 53 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 119 61 122 32 9 0 0
VODI 0 2 14 161 170 249 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 337 358 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 471 981 244 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 90 3426 6785 16095
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2013 1129 38 30 7 0 0 0
OW 9 231 75 164 134 205 1 0
VODI 0 13 15 117 468 847 205 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 183 430 385 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 120 626 683 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 188 2915 5761 16074

Date: 2023-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1796 1629 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 214 58 40 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 55 143 93 54 3 0
ODI 0 1 12 123 148 249 81 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 465 367 219 7
VCDI 0 0 0 2 526 3977 7944 14771
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1757 1475 6 2 0 0 0 0
OW 39 337 59 81 47 6 5 0
VODI 0 70 65 207 202 431 155 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 221 301 335 1
CDI 0 0 0 14 285 581 459 7
VCDI 0 0 0 1 491 3328 7293 14770


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