Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85913 3531 78 111 0 0 0 0
OW 0 391 161 369 29 3 0 0
VODI 0 9 39 452 253 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 490 34 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 575 1275 312 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1788 4316 141
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85741 3581 117 135 0 0 0 0
OW 0 375 162 303 114 8 0 0
VODI 0 5 45 334 322 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 388 128 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 265 886 597 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1134 5644 32
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84965 4222 145 94 0 0 0 0
OW 0 266 193 226 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 32 565 162 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 118 648 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 157 764 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 557 6937 206
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85364 3685 158 88 0 0 0 0
OW 0 265 124 293 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 61 440 184 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 122 544 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 195 625 170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 481 4377 3140
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85364 3708 149 84 0 0 0 0
OW 0 249 143 306 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 51 465 231 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 522 62 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 173 634 181 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 472 4366 3140

Date: 2023-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85361 3659 114 145 4 0 0 0
OW 0 325 74 200 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 86 281 192 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 236 133 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 195 520 125 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 280 2752 5410
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85361 3688 112 141 2 0 0 0
OW 0 319 91 232 111 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 71 295 218 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 222 167 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 185 475 136 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 279 2738 5410

Date: 2023-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84012 4782 66 197 91 34 0 0
OW 0 268 145 104 39 16 5 0
VODI 0 4 54 271 90 14 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 114 133 19 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 213 255 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 289 4960 4107
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84012 4643 71 229 105 39 6 0
OW 0 302 83 104 88 35 43 0
VODI 0 96 66 155 114 56 172 0
ODI 0 13 22 131 63 102 99 0
CDI 0 0 23 76 152 155 327 23
VCDI 0 0 0 13 53 240 4421 4084

Date: 2023-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84728 3902 72 154 63 6 0 0
OW 0 356 99 95 33 18 0 0
VODI 0 81 117 198 50 11 4 0
ODI 0 0 9 176 84 22 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 120 393 127 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 2183 6372 883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84728 3814 76 181 85 16 1 0
OW 0 352 83 111 49 48 8 0
VODI 0 155 84 148 93 78 0 0
ODI 0 18 38 158 101 88 84 0
CDI 0 0 16 143 281 185 189 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 69 1952 6099 883

Date: 2023-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84208 4089 76 169 123 15 0 0
OW 0 365 64 163 54 44 3 0
VODI 0 166 87 103 78 43 10 0
ODI 0 8 54 148 36 61 6 0
CDI 0 0 9 215 394 132 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 1470 6941 1020
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84208 4011 60 183 133 46 0 0
OW 0 425 81 122 67 65 23 0
VODI 0 167 62 160 89 49 14 0
ODI 0 22 63 144 100 59 39 0
CDI 0 3 24 188 267 231 298 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 77 1315 6600 1020


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