Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14164 4363 35 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 947 269 277 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 126 921 503 178 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 191 1967 653 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 400 5355 1379 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 482 727 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14084 4446 21 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 868 179 385 31 4 0 0
VODI 0 112 119 714 509 246 60 0
ODI 0 0 1 268 1623 515 158 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 241 2718 3825 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 301 1415 217
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14427 4565 25 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 829 253 155 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 94 1022 151 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 190 2034 97 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 553 2816 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 70 1582 3710 273
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13984 4803 25 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 825 221 235 6 1 0 0
VODI 0 60 95 784 339 2 0 0
ODI 0 8 18 126 1717 281 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 83 373 2074 924 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 187 495 4257 1140
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13984 4929 38 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 705 214 288 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 87 745 489 7 0 0
ODI 0 7 22 112 1615 364 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 64 321 2014 1028 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 190 468 4153 1140

Date: 2023-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13481 4456 32 57 12 0 0 0
OW 0 930 168 395 55 9 0 0
VODI 0 86 78 623 524 52 10 0
ODI 0 0 3 114 669 1115 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 239 2153 902 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 545 3882 2372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13481 4616 55 76 11 0 0 0
OW 0 791 154 466 73 10 0 0
VODI 0 65 72 526 634 125 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 112 584 1237 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 72 163 1974 1025 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 83 528 3769 2372

Date: 2023-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11678 6003 26 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 615 254 177 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 40 638 118 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 539 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 364 1797 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1429 4817 4362
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11669 5741 79 53 0 0 0 0
OW 9 798 174 449 104 55 0 0
VODI 0 79 65 337 471 305 36 0
ODI 0 0 2 80 258 616 151 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 188 1779 853 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 511 3871 4362

Date: 2023-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12084 5729 31 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 460 202 235 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 70 321 162 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 11 211 268 61 0 0
CDI 0 1 18 97 528 519 104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 227 3105 5855 2674
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12033 5309 66 73 3 0 0 0
OW 45 746 154 298 150 0 0 0
VODI 6 159 69 327 337 197 23 0
ODI 0 48 29 82 346 367 130 0
CDI 0 5 14 103 280 912 502 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 84 2209 5304 2674

Date: 2023-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11138 6365 16 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 663 162 323 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 106 108 278 143 47 0 0
ODI 0 12 20 233 155 54 3 0
CDI 0 4 12 165 428 356 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 48 288 2147 5463 4246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11044 5996 57 45 0 0 0 0
OW 87 885 118 334 94 2 0 0
VODI 7 221 85 352 342 137 32 0
ODI 0 38 43 178 224 261 291 0
CDI 0 10 15 131 338 490 687 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 69 1714 4512 4246


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