Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86590 3089 109 91 0 0 0 0
OW 0 680 175 272 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 75 828 389 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 1384 354 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 272 3210 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2023 721 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86667 2978 69 51 0 0 0 0
OW 0 691 183 364 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 36 711 440 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 799 721 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 107 2701 471 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1892 1382 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85989 3724 129 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 500 189 233 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 22 586 205 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 81 630 33 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 414 1949 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2745 2799 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86052 3487 99 55 0 0 0 0
OW 0 439 214 268 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 32 566 200 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 150 496 38 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 502 1788 434 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2656 2900 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86052 3444 110 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 482 206 273 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 29 574 195 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 528 28 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 470 1714 437 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2738 2896 0

Date: 2023-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85999 3420 105 76 0 0 0 0
OW 0 414 176 350 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 45 444 263 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 461 49 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 487 1034 309 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1617 4964 60
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85999 3396 102 103 0 0 0 0
OW 0 438 183 328 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 41 462 269 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 79 498 59 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 450 1044 341 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1598 4931 56

Date: 2023-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85566 3742 142 110 1 0 0 0
OW 0 256 199 217 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 14 595 141 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 68 743 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 173 795 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 644 6032 926
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85566 3628 158 147 7 0 0 0
OW 0 352 167 385 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 30 363 321 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 413 101 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 268 735 688 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 618 5369 926

Date: 2023-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84922 4180 130 85 0 0 0 0
OW 0 304 138 251 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 66 504 165 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 149 588 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 189 646 194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 364 4409 3060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84922 4123 150 146 3 0 0 0
OW 0 354 138 353 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 46 412 248 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 376 141 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 279 524 797 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 382 3805 3047

Date: 2023-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85391 3634 131 128 8 0 0 0
OW 0 252 93 328 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 51 340 254 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 382 138 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 149 504 227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 274 2619 5344
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85391 3418 133 148 30 0 0 0
OW 0 390 73 275 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 66 367 234 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 98 320 187 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 228 483 882 37
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 239 1956 5307


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