Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39798 4374 5 9 8 0 0 0
OW 42 1313 269 220 69 5 0 0
VODI 1 130 108 1017 340 113 1 0
ODI 0 0 6 324 1719 1210 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 83 632 2827 1972 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1376 3219 14
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39879 4319 16 4 1 0 0 0
OW 35 1294 254 287 7 1 0 0
VODI 1 141 118 1172 253 89 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 436 1432 1385 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 186 520 2456 1437 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 744 4516 201
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 40060 4801 2 13 0 0 0 0
OW 29 928 279 192 0 1 0 0
VODI 3 33 123 1316 119 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 311 1907 216 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 494 3463 344 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 6 1244 5326 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39357 5243 58 30 1 0 0 0
OW 45 836 272 360 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 127 1006 441 24 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 242 1707 527 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 361 3152 1205 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 689 5421 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39355 5376 67 30 1 0 0 0
OW 47 718 264 363 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 126 1022 537 30 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 220 1587 576 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 386 3118 1452 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1 668 5163 0

Date: 2023-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39478 4832 72 15 0 0 0 0
OW 43 854 275 408 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 106 940 562 10 9 0
ODI 0 0 1 324 1256 533 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 355 3223 1315 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 0 1110 5348 7
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39483 4914 83 35 0 0 0 0
OW 38 774 266 373 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 104 967 630 12 11 0
ODI 0 0 1 304 1133 581 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 409 3323 1410 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 960 5245 7

Date: 2023-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37234 6476 165 173 1 0 0 0
OW 7 354 262 455 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 14 892 313 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 77 1154 66 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 404 1894 283 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2368 8338 223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37220 6248 181 275 36 0 0 0
OW 21 519 159 622 336 6 0 0
VODI 0 75 98 528 692 144 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 167 705 807 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 125 1781 2174 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1592 6411 223

Date: 2023-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38430 5207 156 121 4 0 0 0
OW 9 406 281 482 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 13 797 285 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 138 756 323 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 458 639 1242 136
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 859 7712 2700
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38427 4895 164 177 17 0 0 0
OW 12 664 211 591 169 5 0 0
VODI 0 65 77 634 562 84 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 139 589 485 78 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 205 942 1294 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 306 7588 2807

Date: 2023-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38450 5309 113 66 7 0 0 0
OW 18 500 239 408 71 18 0 0
VODI 0 16 56 814 246 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 166 965 92 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 335 1111 597 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 323 4608 6655
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38443 4972 121 246 34 0 0 0
OW 25 714 152 409 203 9 0 0
VODI 0 137 119 482 386 203 4 0
ODI 0 2 18 276 383 313 44 8
CDI 0 0 0 49 429 442 670 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 202 597 4492 6615


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