Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39164 3315 17 9 0 0 0 0
OW 135 2148 210 152 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 306 207 1180 152 6 0 0
ODI 0 11 19 965 1804 373 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 105 1242 6354 1282 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 27 1533 509 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38776 3641 8 3 1 0 0 0
OW 189 2153 175 193 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 336 205 1075 278 3 0 0
ODI 0 16 16 499 2220 278 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 137 1364 4995 832 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 7 2314 1503 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38376 5301 82 47 1 0 0 0
OW 12 1286 332 426 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 62 1082 579 36 0 0
ODI 0 15 1 116 2230 831 1 0
CDI 0 1 0 3 389 5320 1024 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 8 1615 1982 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39408 4618 41 43 1 0 0 0
OW 45 1245 278 348 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 111 104 1077 327 87 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 303 1860 1080 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 647 2770 2391 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 1812 2509 5
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39403 4614 68 49 1 0 0 0
OW 50 1242 253 399 34 2 0 0
VODI 0 118 104 1048 363 88 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 280 1817 1072 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 640 2726 2363 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 1861 2526 5

Date: 2023-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39886 4335 9 9 1 0 0 0
OW 35 1283 293 254 23 0 0 0
VODI 2 144 121 1100 270 99 0 0
ODI 0 1 12 409 1604 1308 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 121 637 2302 1850 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 912 4164 15
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39888 4374 28 14 1 0 0 0
OW 33 1221 282 329 25 1 0 0
VODI 2 168 123 1063 310 101 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 385 1507 1286 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 679 2267 1929 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 966 4056 15

Date: 2023-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 40140 4719 11 1 0 0 0 0
OW 22 852 350 175 3 0 0 0
VODI 3 23 26 1414 113 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 204 2060 110 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 329 3750 198 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 2 839 5776 91
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 40133 4121 29 2 0 0 0 0
OW 30 1231 236 345 12 0 0 0
VODI 2 231 115 1022 389 66 0 0
ODI 0 11 7 307 1526 1309 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 125 575 2472 1371 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 5 860 4587 91

Date: 2023-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39715 5023 66 19 0 0 0 0
OW 42 873 297 270 4 0 0 0
VODI 1 55 132 1227 199 10 1 0
ODI 0 1 1 263 1902 310 10 0
CDI 0 0 1 10 468 3589 619 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 5 1159 4958 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39715 4407 27 13 0 0 0 0
OW 43 1274 287 329 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 260 179 1018 379 43 0 0
ODI 0 10 3 346 1626 1391 39 0
CDI 0 1 1 82 561 2419 1353 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 3 1215 4196 0

Date: 2023-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39531 4949 46 10 2 0 0 0
OW 46 911 263 349 11 3 0 0
VODI 0 62 119 1047 425 21 6 0
ODI 0 0 1 350 1419 527 18 0
CDI 0 0 1 22 423 3160 1180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 578 5545 201
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39538 4459 35 23 0 0 0 0
OW 39 1227 232 393 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 230 156 828 473 78 1 0
ODI 0 6 6 367 1131 832 119 0
CDI 0 0 1 167 648 2879 1925 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 500 4704 201


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