Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35362 5343 35 46 0 0 0 0
OW 242 2766 294 223 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 383 303 2122 330 12 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 387 3086 640 1 0
CDI 0 8 0 5 643 4163 827 0
VCDI 0 2 1 9 10 691 3283 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36605 4437 39 6 0 0 0 0
OW 318 2562 244 215 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 412 319 2098 288 14 0 0
ODI 0 14 8 348 2862 733 13 0
CDI 0 6 1 10 641 4053 1105 0
VCDI 0 3 0 8 6 1434 2428 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37431 5219 38 25 0 0 0 0
OW 27 1949 387 276 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 131 1237 257 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 300 2397 221 4 0
CDI 0 8 2 39 997 6154 1362 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 933 1742 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39184 3402 26 22 1 0 0 0
OW 148 2014 264 172 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 240 156 1087 239 15 0 0
ODI 0 15 19 612 2170 254 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 1444 6721 638 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 2 1109 1199 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38887 2849 36 34 5 0 0 0
OW 445 2026 160 186 45 4 0 0
VODI 0 766 260 1318 507 8 0 0
ODI 0 30 8 363 2476 752 30 0
CDI 0 0 1 38 832 6334 850 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 13 1001 957 0

Date: 2023-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39273 3123 11 6 0 0 0 0
OW 202 2198 178 113 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 355 249 1148 128 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 25 1102 1754 198 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 136 1225 5400 1336 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 5 2017 1028 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39017 2641 17 18 0 0 0 0
OW 458 2204 143 168 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 835 297 1538 283 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 6 733 2043 708 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 763 5210 1428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 20 1697 927 0

Date: 2023-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39030 4554 35 2 1 0 0 0
OW 67 1410 432 233 2 0 0 0
VODI 2 39 11 1597 180 4 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 85 2884 195 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 419 6256 242 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 4 1079 2446 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38732 3125 25 1 1 0 0 0
OW 367 2088 193 304 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 760 238 1134 596 144 0 0
ODI 0 37 23 439 1909 816 100 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 921 4245 1109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 28 2329 1479 0

Date: 2023-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38660 5164 53 92 7 0 0 0
OW 9 1234 278 463 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 86 1006 516 83 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 200 1951 1044 16 0
CDI 0 0 1 4 582 3352 2265 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 8 1801 2236 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38460 3391 34 89 5 0 0 0
OW 209 2272 157 246 49 51 0 0
VODI 0 788 207 1144 575 100 2 0
ODI 0 29 21 246 1660 1103 285 0
CDI 0 1 3 40 786 2988 3009 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 13 2038 1221 0

Date: 2023-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39798 4374 5 9 8 0 0 0
OW 42 1313 269 220 69 5 0 0
VODI 1 130 108 1017 340 113 1 0
ODI 0 0 6 324 1719 1210 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 83 632 2827 1972 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1376 3219 14
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39558 2537 15 12 2 0 0 0
OW 283 2214 115 159 58 79 0 0
VODI 0 1053 221 913 507 67 0 0
ODI 0 13 36 465 1204 1276 191 0
CDI 0 0 1 104 997 2617 3276 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1492 1742 12


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