Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2025-01-09

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62829 26592 1751 590 88 24 4 0
OW 0 1278 982 1038 346 157 29 0
VODI 0 440 405 808 617 543 230 36
ODI 0 177 202 507 598 698 1104 87
CDI 0 163 150 528 563 1680 5060 253
VCDI 0 172 174 662 738 2368 24067 20106
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61647 23294 6069 724 143 58 38 0
OW 0 281 1728 979 379 254 204 0
VODI 0 22 423 856 468 480 452 0
ODI 0 1 158 310 398 553 977 11
CDI 0 0 135 305 353 923 5130 91
VCDI 0 0 33 108 249 1254 22811 26542
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60665 24612 3757 685 306 129 11 0
OW 0 427 1296 771 513 542 113 0
VODI 0 105 659 578 518 829 319 0
ODI 0 12 296 360 342 683 952 0
CDI 0 0 197 371 542 822 7105 86
VCDI 0 0 50 43 79 541 21107 28396
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60665 24756 4055 812 407 188 23 0
OW 0 291 1136 761 509 506 169 0
VODI 0 95 559 550 492 885 406 0
ODI 0 14 298 317 349 707 1318 7
CDI 0 0 168 346 488 825 8376 158
VCDI 0 0 39 22 55 435 19315 28317

Date: 2025-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60417 24353 4308 608 111 27 1 0
OW 0 328 1877 943 494 283 14 0
VODI 0 138 945 737 682 834 141 0
ODI 0 44 405 399 522 932 758 35
CDI 0 21 371 387 717 1297 4673 216
VCDI 0 4 337 398 598 1588 26511 21365
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60417 24304 3915 534 109 23 1 0
OW 0 376 2108 920 451 268 16 0
VODI 0 146 1086 799 701 852 147 0
ODI 0 42 450 432 576 1021 800 51
CDI 0 19 369 393 677 1260 4613 193
VCDI 0 1 315 394 610 1537 26521 21372

Date: 2025-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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