Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2025-01-02

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65322 25429 2827 578 111 48 7 0
OW 0 1257 1430 387 126 87 12 0
VODI 0 547 983 685 277 217 210 2
ODI 0 197 503 498 372 512 806 9
CDI 0 201 697 516 538 1025 2571 31
VCDI 0 125 572 434 227 1096 28235 19137
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2025-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63879 26717 1202 400 105 37 3 0
OW 0 1667 934 647 232 75 25 0
VODI 0 528 667 713 351 445 185 38
ODI 0 174 394 730 436 729 762 121
CDI 0 204 195 707 778 1747 4274 300
VCDI 0 215 165 563 751 1765 24048 20936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63879 27309 1440 562 166 56 3 0
OW 0 1241 831 631 256 148 43 0
VODI 0 490 634 779 358 532 276 53
ODI 0 159 371 717 488 832 978 156
CDI 0 163 138 652 852 1772 3855 268
VCDI 0 143 143 419 533 1458 24142 20918

Date: 2025-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62836 24490 4426 485 56 54 18 0
OW 0 795 1873 935 221 198 24 0
VODI 0 111 650 870 607 506 190 0
ODI 0 9 196 358 498 980 597 4
CDI 0 7 259 432 504 2112 3115 88
VCDI 0 0 81 153 301 2732 23927 23072
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62836 24290 4068 562 110 121 24 0
OW 0 784 1808 710 201 242 30 0
VODI 0 227 797 805 432 556 176 0
ODI 0 100 347 507 492 892 803 17
CDI 0 11 326 401 584 2063 4092 225
VCDI 0 0 139 248 368 2708 22746 22922

Date: 2025-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60657 24182 5099 828 338 144 20 0
OW 0 229 1428 919 550 456 103 0
VODI 0 16 553 615 572 720 280 3
ODI 0 1 165 303 339 555 785 49
CDI 0 0 161 249 481 952 5822 518
VCDI 0 0 17 31 69 971 20772 28886
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60657 23786 4472 783 441 351 95 0
OW 0 559 1704 697 465 330 156 0
VODI 0 76 720 724 488 612 351 20
ODI 0 7 293 353 346 618 960 68
CDI 0 0 208 295 400 873 5886 375
VCDI 0 0 26 93 209 1014 20334 28993

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59821 24330 4175 824 272 157 3 0
OW 1 507 1522 891 320 475 101 0
VODI 0 95 813 829 560 612 444 0
ODI 0 0 275 441 513 527 943 22
CDI 0 0 164 394 568 830 5870 132
VCDI 0 0 43 160 157 606 23896 26526
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59822 23829 3764 918 353 405 37 0
OW 0 723 1613 783 350 386 223 0
VODI 0 312 912 732 476 516 539 2
ODI 0 61 416 390 313 470 1430 62
CDI 0 7 234 500 626 749 6302 338
VCDI 0 0 53 216 272 681 22726 26278


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