Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2024-11-21

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82711 27920 3276 594 60 14 1 0
OW 2 391 1677 1238 407 345 27 0
VODI 0 86 577 1079 665 568 164 0
ODI 0 59 110 329 611 816 114 2
CDI 0 52 217 168 476 1545 1072 83
VCDI 0 1 221 252 373 1414 18435 10316
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82557 25500 1952 613 347 332 1 0
OW 0 419 1323 608 244 490 7 0
VODI 0 24 401 854 502 878 47 0
ODI 0 1 102 323 591 1436 299 0
CDI 0 0 14 64 358 2359 2621 5
VCDI 0 0 0 12 39 980 19076 13089
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79213 26982 1433 661 173 53 1 0
OW 8 490 1260 982 441 430 1 0
VODI 0 71 417 876 671 447 63 0
ODI 0 4 54 524 813 1003 298 0
CDI 0 0 2 196 810 2437 2959 6
VCDI 0 0 0 28 78 1722 19809 13052
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79215 26961 1348 696 179 104 1 0
OW 6 512 1283 961 427 233 1 0
VODI 0 67 469 857 686 628 62 0
ODI 0 7 63 519 818 1037 342 0
CDI 0 0 3 209 788 2462 3181 7
VCDI 0 0 0 25 88 1628 19544 13051

Date: 2024-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 534 6361 972 78 37 9 0 0
OW 0 156 1106 297 155 72 0 0
VODI 0 14 498 447 573 353 35 0
ODI 0 0 80 88 359 837 232 8
CDI 0 0 39 28 120 1231 2593 49
VCDI 0 0 10 75 9 617 11035 16467
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 534 6081 963 172 105 41 0 0
OW 0 393 715 303 262 269 0 0
VODI 0 57 634 306 477 545 92 0
ODI 0 0 252 64 237 441 182 3
CDI 0 0 122 86 141 1034 1526 50
VCDI 0 0 19 82 31 789 12095 16471

Date: 2024-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27983 22476 2175 270 58 12 2 0
OW 0 589 1194 698 396 86 5 0
VODI 0 40 622 646 652 357 38 0
ODI 0 1 252 311 605 906 258 0
CDI 0 0 103 157 400 1070 3070 7
VCDI 0 0 90 153 116 312 21476 15027
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27983 22045 1910 317 188 114 4 0
OW 0 841 1094 506 373 221 8 0
VODI 0 200 757 620 604 694 99 0
ODI 0 15 327 404 507 555 398 0
CDI 0 5 254 205 433 821 2655 14
VCDI 0 0 94 183 122 338 21685 15020

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73306 27044 2222 579 62 3 2 0
OW 0 895 1229 1051 393 41 3 0
VODI 0 133 557 1163 741 243 31 0
ODI 0 27 211 645 793 863 327 0
CDI 0 1 137 289 1276 2204 2533 16
VCDI 0 0 104 228 281 1173 20319 17343
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73306 26189 2023 605 195 41 5 0
OW 0 1453 1129 811 510 139 3 0
VODI 0 421 660 1065 752 605 122 0
ODI 0 32 327 730 650 928 369 0
CDI 0 5 186 532 1230 1889 3359 32
VCDI 0 0 135 212 209 925 19357 17327


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