Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2024-11-21
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2024-11-15:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
82711 |
27920 |
3276 |
594 |
60 |
14 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
2 |
391 |
1677 |
1238 |
407 |
345 |
27 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
86 |
577 |
1079 |
665 |
568 |
164 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
59 |
110 |
329 |
611 |
816 |
114 |
2 |
CDI |
0 |
52 |
217 |
168 |
476 |
1545 |
1072 |
83 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
221 |
252 |
373 |
1414 |
18435 |
10316 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2024-11-19:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
82557 |
25500 |
1952 |
613 |
347 |
332 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
419 |
1323 |
608 |
244 |
490 |
7 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
24 |
401 |
854 |
502 |
878 |
47 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
102 |
323 |
591 |
1436 |
299 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
64 |
358 |
2359 |
2621 |
5 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
39 |
980 |
19076 |
13089 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2024-11-21:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
79213 |
26982 |
1433 |
661 |
173 |
53 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
8 |
490 |
1260 |
982 |
441 |
430 |
1 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
71 |
417 |
876 |
671 |
447 |
63 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
4 |
54 |
524 |
813 |
1003 |
298 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
196 |
810 |
2437 |
2959 |
6 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
78 |
1722 |
19809 |
13052 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
79215 |
26961 |
1348 |
696 |
179 |
104 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
6 |
512 |
1283 |
961 |
427 |
233 |
1 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
67 |
469 |
857 |
686 |
628 |
62 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
7 |
63 |
519 |
818 |
1037 |
342 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
209 |
788 |
2462 |
3181 |
7 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
88 |
1628 |
19544 |
13051 |
|
Date: 2024-11-25:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
534 |
6361 |
972 |
78 |
37 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
156 |
1106 |
297 |
155 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
14 |
498 |
447 |
573 |
353 |
35 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
80 |
88 |
359 |
837 |
232 |
8 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
39 |
28 |
120 |
1231 |
2593 |
49 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
75 |
9 |
617 |
11035 |
16467 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
534 |
6081 |
963 |
172 |
105 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
393 |
715 |
303 |
262 |
269 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
57 |
634 |
306 |
477 |
545 |
92 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
252 |
64 |
237 |
441 |
182 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
122 |
86 |
141 |
1034 |
1526 |
50 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
82 |
31 |
789 |
12095 |
16471 |
|
Date: 2024-11-27:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
27983 |
22476 |
2175 |
270 |
58 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
589 |
1194 |
698 |
396 |
86 |
5 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
40 |
622 |
646 |
652 |
357 |
38 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
252 |
311 |
605 |
906 |
258 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
103 |
157 |
400 |
1070 |
3070 |
7 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
90 |
153 |
116 |
312 |
21476 |
15027 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
27983 |
22045 |
1910 |
317 |
188 |
114 |
4 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
841 |
1094 |
506 |
373 |
221 |
8 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
200 |
757 |
620 |
604 |
694 |
99 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
15 |
327 |
404 |
507 |
555 |
398 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
5 |
254 |
205 |
433 |
821 |
2655 |
14 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
94 |
183 |
122 |
338 |
21685 |
15020 |
|
Date: 2024-11-29:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
73306 |
27044 |
2222 |
579 |
62 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
895 |
1229 |
1051 |
393 |
41 |
3 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
133 |
557 |
1163 |
741 |
243 |
31 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
27 |
211 |
645 |
793 |
863 |
327 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
137 |
289 |
1276 |
2204 |
2533 |
16 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
104 |
228 |
281 |
1173 |
20319 |
17343 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
73306 |
26189 |
2023 |
605 |
195 |
41 |
5 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
1453 |
1129 |
811 |
510 |
139 |
3 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
421 |
660 |
1065 |
752 |
605 |
122 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
32 |
327 |
730 |
650 |
928 |
369 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
5 |
186 |
532 |
1230 |
1889 |
3359 |
32 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
135 |
212 |
209 |
925 |
19357 |
17327 |
|
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