Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2024-08-29

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107866 18121 7102 904 399 50 17 0
OW 0 540 638 1290 1050 220 26 0
VODI 0 2 262 682 1561 949 213 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 349 1259 3066 292
CDI 0 0 0 14 43 92 5011 3959
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 19 1807 614
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113483 17398 4050 836 132 14 7 0
OW 0 292 651 1393 699 96 33 0
VODI 0 3 46 957 1556 526 161 0
ODI 0 0 0 129 504 1572 1363 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 35 260 7306 2518
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 1865 559
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114276 16400 3838 605 143 20 9 0
OW 11 418 740 1373 663 180 20 0
VODI 0 0 337 1207 1028 644 203 0
ODI 0 0 6 374 368 937 2132 3
CDI 0 0 0 26 33 526 6395 2608
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 41 2297 605
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114276 16601 3909 677 169 32 13 0
OW 7 217 663 1332 654 170 22 0
VODI 4 0 320 1148 994 671 205 0
ODI 0 0 29 389 378 880 2000 20
CDI 0 0 0 39 41 552 6504 2619
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 43 2312 577

Date: 2024-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118883 13504 2395 843 79 7 4 0
OW 17 317 1070 1675 559 37 16 0
VODI 1 0 175 862 1310 302 87 0
ODI 0 0 23 118 490 935 2672 42
CDI 0 0 0 14 55 243 4547 3857
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1928 1401
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118846 13280 2196 668 69 9 5 0
OW 54 468 1007 1520 538 28 12 0
VODI 1 73 396 1096 1223 425 168 0
ODI 0 0 61 201 601 727 1630 0
CDI 0 0 3 27 56 321 5151 3883
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 14 2288 1417

Date: 2024-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115452 16675 2421 781 186 37 4 0
OW 17 368 929 1182 1022 118 13 0
VODI 0 0 90 557 1353 719 78 0
ODI 0 0 0 126 324 1244 2343 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 21 275 4668 3854
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 1588
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115450 16234 2165 685 190 43 7 0
OW 17 637 939 1105 897 144 10 0
VODI 2 170 291 745 1330 725 128 0
ODI 0 2 45 108 461 1151 1470 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 28 324 5656 4121
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 6 1850 1321

Date: 2024-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113814 17402 3031 710 242 37 4 0
OW 5 349 910 1123 1089 119 11 0
VODI 0 0 109 518 1385 647 73 0
ODI 0 0 2 171 352 1478 950 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 79 352 5171 3375
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 28 2734 2187
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113814 17111 2826 599 257 33 3 0
OW 5 526 1016 1062 1074 135 10 0
VODI 0 114 192 633 1293 661 105 0
ODI 0 0 18 226 437 1385 1446 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 84 376 4555 3736
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 71 2824 1826


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