Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2024-05-23

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62190 18895 2525 341 69 1 5 0
OW 147 557 2299 1739 165 15 41 0
VODI 70 10 431 1930 1133 519 401 5
ODI 18 0 26 679 1052 1628 1334 9
CDI 11 0 6 392 1065 7790 8346 37
VCDI 0 0 0 254 209 1858 23607 16659
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63315 17857 3063 152 24 2 7 0
OW 181 591 2743 967 134 38 20 0
VODI 41 1 775 1778 765 249 368 7
ODI 18 0 168 853 991 1122 1473 13
CDI 8 0 157 611 1201 3884 12010 88
VCDI 0 0 53 205 213 1193 22591 18538
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63338 17959 3520 220 28 7 7 0
OW 141 489 2275 911 142 46 27 0
VODI 45 1 798 1697 692 195 385 7
ODI 24 0 151 896 1008 1133 1365 12
CDI 15 0 162 629 1253 3872 12114 70
VCDI 0 0 53 213 205 1235 22571 18557

Date: 2024-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62443 20034 2875 535 42 7 30 0
OW 39 337 1672 1467 194 40 98 0
VODI 4 51 465 1949 1076 309 550 0
ODI 0 10 136 978 1402 1531 1703 0
CDI 0 2 67 501 1102 4238 12591 133
VCDI 0 2 7 55 439 1362 18791 19201
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62348 19676 2509 473 36 11 27 0
OW 88 632 1669 1061 182 35 109 0
VODI 28 108 699 1757 630 209 540 0
ODI 14 16 215 1130 1362 1053 1426 0
CDI 8 3 121 972 1514 4424 13885 995
VCDI 0 1 9 92 531 1755 17776 18339

Date: 2024-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62408 20590 2531 589 30 4 35 0
OW 33 485 1271 1467 161 49 132 0
VODI 0 66 517 2078 878 269 629 0
ODI 0 14 160 1198 1351 1446 2124 10
CDI 0 3 94 884 1072 2989 14203 186
VCDI 0 0 0 84 536 925 19997 16970
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62337 19899 2151 612 29 5 29 0
OW 65 966 1161 1058 229 48 120 0
VODI 24 226 755 1663 563 223 596 0
ODI 15 62 253 1288 1238 931 1944 0
CDI 0 5 195 1535 1359 3297 15136 1465
VCDI 0 0 58 144 610 1178 19295 15701

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63731 20020 2237 277 43 9 25 0
OW 25 494 1874 776 293 84 100 0
VODI 0 52 940 1504 946 599 541 0
ODI 0 5 256 956 1279 2355 2220 33
CDI 0 2 126 833 1031 2925 14553 165
VCDI 0 0 3 161 238 619 18241 17897
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63682 19362 2041 261 94 21 58 0
OW 43 894 1375 671 290 92 166 0
VODI 24 175 1042 1121 744 422 601 0
ODI 7 59 543 959 979 1479 1736 4
CDI 0 83 249 1149 1243 3582 13449 2027
VCDI 0 0 186 346 480 995 19670 16064


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