Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2024-05-09

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55685 18321 1813 404 68 6 5 0
OW 0 1327 2379 1245 331 88 33 0
VODI 0 210 1009 1353 846 712 450 3
ODI 0 32 396 837 917 1101 1598 9
CDI 0 98 264 838 1078 1773 12975 30
VCDI 0 35 168 294 312 313 26742 22370
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56330 19700 2169 713 58 11 7 0
OW 0 1193 1910 1753 223 91 48 0
VODI 0 139 488 1865 877 375 450 1
ODI 0 33 155 678 822 1167 1437 9
CDI 0 101 145 526 588 3292 10473 31
VCDI 0 0 19 241 219 1150 29304 19677
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58295 20816 2487 508 124 10 3 0
OW 0 1356 1957 1598 314 74 60 0
VODI 0 189 489 1663 1232 571 385 5
ODI 0 115 168 588 957 931 1446 11
CDI 0 91 226 560 1153 3182 10016 71
VCDI 0 0 33 695 348 906 27085 17750
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58295 20110 1962 409 123 16 4 0
OW 0 1680 1613 818 289 85 70 0
VODI 0 367 1038 1369 677 520 418 5
ODI 0 148 327 1180 910 620 1359 7
CDI 0 208 260 989 1645 3066 8455 63
VCDI 0 54 160 847 484 1367 28689 17762

Date: 2024-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59572 19947 2313 289 86 5 2 0
OW 0 1287 2540 897 314 134 63 0
VODI 0 148 875 1318 1104 670 398 0
ODI 0 52 283 465 841 1056 1438 5
CDI 0 106 303 551 1107 3053 10629 36
VCDI 0 0 44 789 400 990 26543 17815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59572 18543 2049 318 67 27 6 0
OW 0 1896 1468 510 283 111 85 0
VODI 0 606 1135 862 625 632 501 0
ODI 0 226 802 777 843 777 1538 4
CDI 0 204 681 871 1580 3079 8886 35
VCDI 0 65 223 971 454 1282 28057 17817

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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