Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2024-04-04

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52937 18420 2391 255 41 1 0 0
OW 0 274 1528 903 116 21 7 0
VODI 0 62 624 1563 790 403 63 0
ODI 0 6 216 512 880 1539 378 0
CDI 0 5 124 713 1113 3544 4005 30
VCDI 0 0 45 125 430 2469 32089 29846
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52476 19011 1425 118 18 1 0 0
OW 0 466 1584 571 204 24 13 0
VODI 0 113 958 1023 841 477 109 0
ODI 0 15 285 479 916 1660 575 0
CDI 0 10 210 477 991 3299 6565 18
VCDI 0 0 22 39 200 1282 28517 33476
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52476 19083 1489 115 21 3 0 0
OW 0 391 1534 562 195 23 14 0
VODI 0 114 941 1027 803 461 111 0
ODI 0 16 292 497 899 1540 556 0
CDI 0 11 208 469 1061 3438 6915 32
VCDI 0 0 20 37 191 1278 28183 33462

Date: 2024-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53074 19191 1451 90 26 2 2 0
OW 0 414 1852 517 111 36 21 0
VODI 0 7 827 989 733 438 170 0
ODI 0 0 226 312 479 1356 1172 7
CDI 0 0 181 232 437 1685 5412 29
VCDI 0 0 114 132 255 825 33586 32077
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53074 18740 1076 52 19 1 1 0
OW 0 715 1488 378 130 62 18 0
VODI 0 146 972 893 589 388 212 0
ODI 0 11 505 403 486 1154 1039 7
CDI 0 0 354 324 501 1574 8321 61
VCDI 0 0 256 222 316 1163 30772 32045

Date: 2024-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53089 19477 1388 57 1 0 1 0
OW 0 257 1722 509 215 50 11 0
VODI 0 7 678 739 754 770 173 0
ODI 0 0 183 328 421 1140 1160 2
CDI 0 0 121 279 682 1627 5177 35
VCDI 0 0 1 49 196 727 32167 34275
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53089 18711 903 62 5 1 2 0
OW 0 852 1465 265 114 56 17 0
VODI 0 162 953 733 682 611 222 0
ODI 0 16 460 401 436 1222 943 0
CDI 0 0 280 406 677 1526 8101 154
VCDI 0 0 32 94 355 898 29404 34158

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53087 19758 673 61 3 0 1 0
OW 0 897 1184 609 90 38 29 0
VODI 0 63 747 1455 572 338 217 0
ODI 0 22 208 786 736 772 1032 13
CDI 0 78 195 535 796 1754 4806 183
VCDI 0 0 13 154 216 1021 32928 32398
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53087 18523 617 154 20 0 1 0
OW 0 1393 701 479 102 43 19 0
VODI 0 617 796 1111 473 252 254 1
ODI 0 158 436 856 800 756 822 17
CDI 0 127 439 823 771 1746 7647 139
VCDI 0 0 31 177 247 1126 30270 32437


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