Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2024-03-28

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55336 19580 1447 125 56 30 3 0
OW 0 653 1668 732 247 145 22 0
VODI 0 113 1003 800 616 595 216 0
ODI 0 31 407 460 583 1196 839 0
CDI 0 16 313 503 636 1352 6008 25
VCDI 0 0 34 407 793 1609 25396 34473
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54447 20240 1031 58 10 4 3 0
OW 0 395 1724 671 191 77 8 0
VODI 0 28 570 762 931 558 149 0
ODI 0 7 180 389 621 1447 519 0
CDI 0 16 135 340 641 2422 4666 11
VCDI 0 0 44 185 445 1465 33588 29490
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52912 18642 1735 153 19 3 0 0
OW 0 374 1691 564 178 35 4 0
VODI 0 118 953 1121 764 554 58 0
ODI 0 23 340 503 873 1624 413 0
CDI 0 12 162 590 1215 3264 5829 141
VCDI 0 0 72 78 151 1417 29599 32284
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52912 17776 1819 234 41 6 2 0
OW 0 672 1249 841 406 135 4 0
VODI 0 499 724 642 645 910 137 0
ODI 0 170 520 430 684 1379 795 0
CDI 0 48 602 715 1099 2436 6679 24
VCDI 0 4 39 147 325 2031 28286 32401

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52862 18979 1059 105 1 0 0 0
OW 0 615 1609 538 115 16 5 0
VODI 0 83 1061 951 839 431 134 0
ODI 0 4 359 475 887 1523 449 0
CDI 0 0 189 408 807 3048 6193 36
VCDI 0 0 20 22 191 1393 29300 33761
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52862 17649 1270 253 58 15 0 0
OW 0 1037 1102 742 274 81 7 0
VODI 0 694 729 528 720 802 191 0
ODI 0 265 547 349 627 1301 807 0
CDI 0 36 644 592 909 2521 6931 24
VCDI 0 0 5 35 252 1691 28145 33773


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