Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2023-11-16
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2023-11-10:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
75469 |
24595 |
1441 |
457 |
74 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
1136 |
1072 |
932 |
334 |
193 |
106 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
292 |
570 |
980 |
645 |
435 |
411 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
17 |
204 |
443 |
352 |
742 |
554 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
27 |
293 |
462 |
1364 |
3167 |
9 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
103 |
2765 |
24187 |
14582 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2023-11-14:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
71905 |
25090 |
1748 |
385 |
201 |
98 |
7 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
913 |
1029 |
645 |
445 |
398 |
48 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
103 |
542 |
804 |
855 |
906 |
208 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
7 |
71 |
311 |
461 |
1309 |
591 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
3 |
8 |
129 |
385 |
1460 |
3374 |
15 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
20 |
1648 |
20656 |
21684 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2023-11-16:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
70302 |
24675 |
2257 |
255 |
94 |
45 |
7 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
535 |
1301 |
744 |
345 |
396 |
40 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
69 |
660 |
737 |
814 |
385 |
189 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
10 |
389 |
369 |
742 |
867 |
516 |
7 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
106 |
405 |
652 |
1066 |
3649 |
34 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
90 |
1267 |
26130 |
18293 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
70302 |
24740 |
2318 |
323 |
91 |
44 |
7 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
472 |
1221 |
671 |
360 |
379 |
45 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
68 |
657 |
724 |
789 |
386 |
203 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
9 |
406 |
384 |
736 |
840 |
517 |
8 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
110 |
405 |
658 |
1085 |
3725 |
30 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
103 |
1292 |
26034 |
18296 |
|
Date: 2023-11-20:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
66555 |
22214 |
3523 |
1987 |
178 |
17 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
281 |
1176 |
1206 |
456 |
84 |
44 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
10 |
311 |
1440 |
1097 |
254 |
294 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
31 |
473 |
765 |
971 |
616 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
37 |
239 |
390 |
2156 |
3780 |
48 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
84 |
157 |
1793 |
22059 |
23736 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
66555 |
21910 |
3307 |
2118 |
279 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
549 |
906 |
1013 |
592 |
138 |
143 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
46 |
671 |
1080 |
674 |
229 |
238 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
89 |
689 |
621 |
732 |
539 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
92 |
334 |
619 |
2022 |
3900 |
136 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
195 |
258 |
2149 |
21973 |
23648 |
|
Date: 2023-11-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
69013 |
19878 |
4244 |
515 |
281 |
72 |
5 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
695 |
1553 |
511 |
252 |
205 |
81 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
46 |
1272 |
946 |
655 |
503 |
231 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
5 |
311 |
609 |
687 |
1030 |
344 |
5 |
CDI |
0 |
9 |
197 |
190 |
336 |
1866 |
3927 |
76 |
VCDI |
0 |
5 |
209 |
153 |
141 |
1526 |
23365 |
22519 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
69013 |
19256 |
3923 |
625 |
320 |
96 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
1021 |
1301 |
471 |
318 |
317 |
193 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
313 |
1324 |
604 |
423 |
384 |
179 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
25 |
634 |
603 |
570 |
856 |
408 |
6 |
CDI |
0 |
8 |
299 |
396 |
539 |
1912 |
3322 |
120 |
VCDI |
0 |
15 |
305 |
225 |
182 |
1637 |
23850 |
22474 |
|
Date: 2023-11-24:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
68594 |
20212 |
4295 |
346 |
215 |
122 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
932 |
1634 |
496 |
159 |
256 |
34 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
284 |
1282 |
1006 |
561 |
274 |
280 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
13 |
702 |
797 |
724 |
342 |
304 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
590 |
620 |
1243 |
2327 |
1789 |
21 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
436 |
403 |
623 |
1936 |
24685 |
19931 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
68594 |
19227 |
4093 |
357 |
197 |
140 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
1301 |
1176 |
489 |
240 |
363 |
229 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
694 |
1356 |
702 |
470 |
177 |
222 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
190 |
896 |
887 |
630 |
462 |
320 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
28 |
664 |
779 |
1289 |
2134 |
1441 |
11 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
754 |
454 |
699 |
1981 |
24880 |
19941 |
|
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