Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2025-06-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 545 2617 23 11 1 0 0 0
OW 71 1982 204 192 23 0 0 0
VODI 6 592 227 652 319 31 18 0
ODI 0 75 73 504 1393 379 122 0
CDI 0 6 12 155 1826 3155 1297 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 1745 11282 15485 838
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 743 2959 21 7 1 0 0 0
OW 136 1778 193 227 22 0 2 0
VODI 6 683 170 569 265 51 24 0
ODI 0 118 95 410 1507 709 43 0
CDI 0 31 16 228 1552 3940 739 25
VCDI 0 0 0 3 1568 11423 10792 4810
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1021 4074 28 6 1 0 0 0
OW 53 1452 189 166 16 0 1 0
VODI 0 324 194 863 453 70 5 0
ODI 0 24 22 449 2395 563 25 0
CDI 0 18 7 111 1399 6434 607 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 3888 10397 9100 1510
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1841 3632 21 13 2 0 0 0
OW 62 1361 221 234 15 3 0 0
VODI 0 494 215 861 425 187 5 0
ODI 0 53 51 810 1884 575 44 0
CDI 0 30 15 204 1107 6473 578 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 1581 14821 5650 2371
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1835 3661 40 26 2 0 0 0
OW 68 1315 173 228 14 5 0 0
VODI 0 491 235 876 402 168 6 0
ODI 0 73 57 769 1755 720 55 0
CDI 0 30 18 219 1250 6032 600 2
VCDI 0 0 0 31 1591 15134 5616 2369

Date: 2025-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2013 3846 36 34 5 0 0 0
OW 32 1521 218 223 47 2 0 0
VODI 0 750 253 1067 524 70 8 0
ODI 0 198 142 1296 875 505 31 0
CDI 0 40 22 244 1498 5904 212 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 1605 15655 5238 1746
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1990 3883 63 52 5 0 0 0
OW 55 1466 179 196 31 3 0 0
VODI 0 732 249 1049 475 78 8 0
ODI 0 227 146 1181 1114 661 37 0
CDI 0 47 34 383 1299 5477 191 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 1630 15917 5253 1746

Date: 2025-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2526 4366 39 32 4 0 0 0
OW 18 1877 646 547 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 73 152 2115 705 5 2 0
ODI 0 11 6 130 2026 275 13 0
CDI 0 1 3 39 2455 8058 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 1093 12888 4526 1114
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2479 3772 63 49 5 0 0 0
OW 64 1423 182 241 73 6 1 0
VODI 1 734 317 1228 589 64 14 0
ODI 0 306 242 1086 1277 416 49 0
CDI 0 93 40 246 2343 4943 129 0
VCDI 0 0 2 46 2005 15798 4426 1114

Date: 2025-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2506 4583 60 45 3 0 0 0
OW 4 2297 657 657 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 248 219 1444 592 13 2 0
ODI 0 18 11 249 2199 172 7 0
CDI 0 3 7 61 3375 7138 115 0
VCDI 0 1 1 2 978 12674 4989 503
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2452 4031 67 41 3 0 0 0
OW 58 1484 254 219 93 1 1 0
VODI 0 1068 361 1126 481 36 2 0
ODI 0 517 253 867 1449 280 25 0
CDI 0 49 19 199 3414 4393 105 0
VCDI 0 1 1 6 1740 15287 4980 503

Date: 2025-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3059 4441 83 55 11 0 0 0
OW 68 2828 597 646 75 7 0 0
VODI 18 283 173 820 604 61 2 0
ODI 0 40 34 322 1828 654 9 0
CDI 0 5 11 78 2949 5457 285 0
VCDI 0 1 1 2 3428 12109 4821 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3044 3671 50 37 10 0 0 0
OW 79 1660 289 197 85 6 0 0
VODI 2 1518 336 797 393 90 2 0
ODI 10 698 175 610 1335 443 33 0
CDI 10 50 48 277 2887 4458 171 0
VCDI 0 1 1 5 4185 13291 4911 1


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