Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-03-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58223 13777 238 210 62 6 1 0
OW 613 1209 231 502 230 65 8 0
VODI 1810 365 164 551 658 137 16 0
ODI 1792 101 65 258 732 522 35 2
CDI 0 53 38 153 1073 3105 1653 5
VCDI 0 30 29 103 630 7731 37207 46417
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58927 13620 131 156 27 1 0 0
OW 616 1477 285 352 153 29 1 0
VODI 1808 456 177 533 435 123 14 0
ODI 1795 135 105 258 612 365 69 0
CDI 0 50 58 324 1069 1855 1631 8
VCDI 0 24 35 146 462 7086 32295 53107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59815 13589 107 106 48 3 0 0
OW 609 1473 251 337 115 38 6 0
VODI 1819 358 212 559 417 117 3 0
ODI 1781 76 42 256 737 498 34 0
CDI 0 50 28 124 724 2437 497 5
VCDI 0 28 33 144 429 5919 34366 52620
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59680 13604 141 92 53 4 3 0
OW 713 1261 253 420 115 24 13 0
VODI 1837 408 237 514 409 120 9 0
ODI 1772 111 60 378 647 439 64 0
CDI 0 82 38 176 785 2274 885 11
VCDI 0 90 48 162 544 6227 31640 54467
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59677 13708 146 100 57 4 3 0
OW 711 1171 277 424 109 27 13 0
VODI 1845 399 212 539 445 121 12 0
ODI 1769 114 52 349 658 449 70 0
CDI 0 81 40 162 734 2304 893 24
VCDI 0 83 50 168 550 6183 31623 54454

Date: 2025-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59764 13331 140 113 56 7 0 0
OW 712 1321 270 384 186 41 23 0
VODI 1842 390 171 558 407 179 6 0
ODI 1766 135 50 277 613 532 81 0
CDI 0 102 58 186 606 2436 1178 14
VCDI 0 90 53 147 448 6229 31463 54445
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59764 13472 143 121 61 8 0 0
OW 710 1194 275 402 176 48 23 0
VODI 1847 376 164 551 438 170 8 0
ODI 1763 134 57 259 627 592 81 0
CDI 0 121 53 182 537 2393 1246 17
VCDI 0 72 50 150 477 6213 31393 54442

Date: 2025-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59135 14077 179 155 66 11 1 0
OW 652 985 269 481 175 53 19 0
VODI 1837 305 104 403 466 202 21 0
ODI 1756 137 45 158 500 634 98 0
CDI 0 88 53 227 608 2292 1541 0
VCDI 0 14 8 101 530 6594 36814 49016
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59134 13826 135 126 63 15 2 0
OW 652 1153 288 458 159 34 17 0
VODI 1838 376 124 456 479 198 16 0
ODI 1756 155 62 180 547 657 109 0
CDI 0 90 45 223 585 2491 1542 0
VCDI 0 6 4 82 512 6391 36808 49016

Date: 2025-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59100 14124 151 160 88 19 4 0
OW 630 1076 272 406 147 86 35 0
VODI 1846 354 126 414 548 181 26 0
ODI 1742 92 57 153 507 463 96 3
CDI 0 27 40 153 488 2071 1315 20
VCDI 0 0 2 40 294 4800 35590 53064
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59098 13439 170 193 112 29 6 0
OW 631 1279 186 353 171 86 29 0
VODI 1834 559 150 335 457 259 51 0
ODI 1755 246 60 194 516 495 166 4
CDI 0 146 72 174 490 2047 1613 34
VCDI 0 4 10 77 326 4704 35201 53049

Date: 2025-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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